Queensland racing has it's showcase day today at Eagle Farm.Posted a Dead 4.Some showers are possible so it's fair to work on a Good to Dead track.
Early markets with bookies are all at 20/30% overounds ( Brisbane bookies get away with betting massive overounds) so my strong advice to anyone betting there today is to constantly monitor Betfair and don't be in too much of a hurry to get on unless one is proving very strong.
Race 2
Transporter has the form and the gate to be hard to beat here.He was very gallant against Solzehnitsyn last time and is solid consistent racehorse in career best form.Current quotes around 3.50 against my rating of 2.90.Someday has a big reputation but he does have a fair bit to find to win this.
Race 3
Academus draws gate 1 and his main rival Platinum Kingdom gets gate18 after scratchings.He's no world beater Academus but he's useful and with the plum draw and a bludge run he is clearly the one to beat.Lillburlero would have rated higher were in not for for her awkward draw.Academus is a best priced 2.85 this morning and anything over 2.80 looks attractive to me.Expect 3.30/3.50 on Betfair at some stage.
Race 4
Pentasia has never raced at 1000m but doubt thats a negative in such a hot speed race.Gets a nice run behind the pace here and can pounce on them in the last 150 metres.She's still improving and very genuine.4.40 best this morning with the books and over 5.0 on Betfair. 4.0 is my assessment so I'm happy to play here.
Race 5
Red Tracer and steps In Time are the highest rated mares here but both havebad gates and have to concede 4kg's to the solid Brisbane performer Fire Up Fifi who draws for a good run in gate 8. 5.50 is the best this morning for Fifi and I don't think we'll beat that somehow.I've got her at 4.0 maximum.
I've taken the 5.50
Race 7 Queensland Derby
Gondokoro's Oaks win last week is the best form on offer here and no worries about the trip with her.Gate is awkward and a good ride needed but Rhys McLeod produced one last week so let's hope he can repeat it here.She's a solid improver and a Cup's horse for next season for sure.Lot's of hopes here to be fair but early quotes of 6.50 underate her chances.Anything 5.0 or over makes her a bet on my figures.
Race 9 Brisbane Cup
I hope were on a good track by this time to improve Verdant chances.2400m is his optimum trip in my opinion and down the limit of 53kg's with the excellent M.Walker aboard he looks serious overs at 17.0.Tough race,lots of hopes but happy to be with Verdant who I rate a 11.0 chance
The evening blog covering UK racing is starting to get some traction now with 3 winners and a second from 4 selections this week (including tweets- one winner ,one second).Good fast racing ground in the UK now which will produce plenty of winners if the weather stays kind
Advised Bets
Eagle Farm
Race 2 Transporter 1.70 units to win at 3.0 or better.-shop on Betfair but expect strong late
Race 3 Academus 1.75 units to win at 2.80 or better-shop on Betfair
Race 4 Pentasia 1.25 units to win at 4.0 or better-shop on Betfair
Race 5 Fire Up Fifi 1.25 units to win at 4.0 or better-take the 5.50 now
Race 7 Gondokoro 1 unit to win at 5.0 or better-shop on Betfair
Race 9 Verdant 0.45 units to win at 11.0 or better-take the 17.0 on offer now
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