Saturday 22 June 2013

Royal Ascot Day Five

Quiet day for the blog at Ascot yesterday with bets only in the last event and Dream Tune ran really well but only second so a small 1.53 unit loss there.Those following on "Twitter" were sent through two 1.65 unit bets at Redcar with The Rectifier winning comfortably at 3.50 and Blackball putting in a thoroughly mulish display and finishing in the ruck.Tweets produced a 2.47 unit profit on the day.
Mixed fortunes in Australia earlier today-two selections Secessio very unlucky running second after being almost brought down early in the straight after clipping heels and all momentum lost.The Cleaner advised as 3.80 chance got the job done at an amazing Betfair SP of 10.0.I averaged 8.50 so for the purpose of record keeper that's what I've settled it at for the purpose of the  blog's profit/loss.Australian profit on the day 8.73 units.

Ascot posted Good To Firm after 2mm of overnight rain.There are some showers forecast for early afternoon but unless they are are very heavy they should just freshen the ground up a bit.



Chesham Stakes

Bunker,Somewhat and Autumn Lily look the three most likely but the early betting reflects that and all in all a race to watch and learn from I think.


Hardwicke Stakes

The gelding operation over the Winter seems to have done the trick with Ektihaam.He ran really well behind Al Kazeem on his comeback run and really ought to have finished second there.Last time he made all over course and distance to slam Thomas Chippendale 6 lengths in a strongly contested Listed event.I expect him to lead and be very hard to pass here.2.80 on my figures.Mount Athos is a really likeable type but this trip is short of his best and should he win here he'll surely be weighted out of Melbourne Cup consideration.Sir John Hawkwood is another really likeable sort but he'll be giving away first run to Ektihaam and does have to improve again a fair bit to win this.

Advised Bet: Ektihaab 1.75 units at  3.0 or better-shop on Betfair currently 3.90



Diamond Jubilee Stakes

Sea Siren represents Australia and at her very best would be a solid chance here.She ran below form when sent to Honk Kong and has had mixed form recently and for better or worse I'm not overly keen on her chances here,Society Rock is an Ascot specialist and his comeback win at York was very good as connections were sure he would need the race.Gordon lord Byron ran very well there too stuck out on a limb most of the race and the stiff 6 furlongs here will suit his style of running.I'm not giving up on Mince as I don't think she has been fully fit both starts this campaign -this is her target race.There are other hopes but I'll take three against the field here.

Advised Bets:    Society Rock             1.10 units at 4.70 or better-take the 5.40 on Betfair now
                          Gordon Lord Byron   0,65 units at 8.0 or better-shop on Betfair
                          Mince                         0.50 units at 10.0 or better-shop on Betfair


Wokingham Handicap

5 against the field here in Gabriels Lad ,Rex Imperator,York Glory,Khubala and Shropshire

Advised Bets:    Gabriels Lad          0.60 units at 8.50 or better
                           Rex Imperator       0.50 units at 10.0 or better
                           York Glory            0.40 units at   13.0 or better
                           Khubala                0.30  units at 17.0 or better
                           Shropshire             0.30 units at  17.0 or better
Betfair is the only place to shop here


Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes

I'm a great Rye House  fan and think he has plenty more to offer.Lahaag too is a horse with potential to do better especially over this trip.stencive is the other main hope but the gate is poor so I'll just save with him

Advised bets:    Rye House      1 unit to win at 5.0 or better-around 7.0 now on Betfair is ok
                          Lahaag            0.65 units at 7.50 or better-11.0 now on Betfair
                          Stencive          saver approx 0.20 units


Queen Alexandra Stakes

Shawardi ran second here last year.Meanwhile he's been campaigned successfully in Australia before returning to France.He ran appallingly on his comeback race at Longchamp last month so who knows what's turning up here today?He's clearly got the best credentials here if he's right and there are not many you can fancy in this race.If he runs to the form of his second last year he's a 2.70 chance here but obviously there is a doubt.4.50 is big enough to tempt me though.

Advised Bet: Shawardi   1.10 units to win at 4.50 or better-monitor on Betfair-4.60 now


Any further advised bets at today's other meetings will be sent via Twitter




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