Flemington posts a Good 4. It's a clear fresh morning with a high of 13 forecast and winds expected to pick up to around 30KPH during the afternoon. That wind will make leading that bit tougher in the circle races. Best ground is expected to be up the middle on the straight course and between 3 to 7 horse widths out up the straight in the circle races.
Race 2
Dulverton is going well but things are tougher today and the value here is Florida Pearl . His comeback run was very good and he was only run down late by a promising import in the Weir camp Andrea Mantegna who goes around here later today. 3 lengths behind was another Weir horse Kevin's Time who franked the form winning earlier this week.
Suggested Bet: Florida Pearl 1 unit at 5.50 or better. 10.0 with Ubet so have 50% of the stake there and monitor on Betfair with the balance
Race 6
Three main hopes here on my figures are Chequered Flag, Benall and Yogi. I think Yogi is too short I have him nearer 5.0 than the top offer of 3.0. Chequered Flag I have at 4.1 which you'll probably get but happy to play Benall at double figures I have him at 6.0
Suggested Bet: Benall 0.85 units at 6.50 or better. Take the 12.0 on offer with Crown or Sportsbet for 50% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance
Race 10
I was very bullish about Poetic Ray last week in what was a almost identical race before the wind scuppered the meeting at Caulfield. No 17.0 bet early this week but still plenty of fat at 11.0 with Bet 365
Suggested Bet : 1.25 units Poetic Ray at 4.50 or better. Take the 11.0 with Bet 365 with the SPG
Quite a few others of interest today but I really want to see how markets develop before commiting.
I had planned a daily blog covering the Goodwood Festival in England but the weather played havoc there over the first 2 days with some very wild results. The form had settled down yesterday but rain is due again just as racing begins tonight so it's best just watched for me I think.
I'm stuck in a losing trough at the moment but hopefully the fight back will happen sooner rather than later.
