Moonee Valley is now a Good 3 up from a Dead 4 and Melbourne is fine and dry so the track will only get quicker.It's not an easy card and most of the races make very limited appeal.There are however, couple at odds that I'm happy to be with.The rail is out 7 metres and that generally favours on pacers who can bag the rail.
Moonee Valley
Race 2
There are two engaged here that I have in my "blackbook" Lord Da Vinci and Duke's Delight.Lord Da Vinci ran very well on debut when favourite and just outpointed.He'll improve for the extra distance but at 2.50 he's definitely short enough.Duke's Delight ran well in a maiden at Seymour that strikes me as a race likely to throw up plenty of winners.He's big overs at around 21.0 and 7.0 the place on the totes.
Advised Bet: Dukes Delight 0.45 win units at 12.0 or better and 1.15 units a place at 4.50 or better
Monitor the betting here and shop around
Race 8
Electric Fusion is on a very attractive mark of 78 for a horse who split Hawkspur and Honorius when second in the Queensland Derby.He's had two trials but he does get back and this trip is short of his best.Xavi is a definite chance but there's no real value at around 3.50.Esprit Rossa has been a steady improver and I liked her win in a weaker race last time.It's harder here but she draws for a nice trail behind the pace here and 9.50 is on offer against my rating of 7.50.
Advised Bet: Esprit Rossa 0.65 units at 8.0 or better-take the 9.50 with Bet 365 (SP and Tote guarantees make it attractive to bet with them on city meetings although you can't get on for too much)
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