Friday 4 October 2013

Epsom and Metropolitan at Randwick,Turnbull at Flemington

Excellent day's racing in prospect with the Epsom and the Metroploitan the two Randwick G1's and the Turnbull the G1 at Flemington.Both tracks are Dead 4 and both should be dry.Flemington will almost certainly be a Good 3 sooner than later.Rob Waterhouse was complaining on Twitter about Randwick watering last night aiming for a Dead track so you really will have to have a look at that track after the first couple of races.Good fast racing ground is what punters want not artificially produced surfaces that satisfy the "participants".Punters aren't considered participants by the NSW racing powers in case you hadn't already been aware of that.
Bookies will be betting very tight figures today so there is no need to go off early unless you are sure it's going to be a shortener.

Randwick

Race 7
I'll take the two Guy Walter trained runners Streama and Toydini against the field here. Collectively I have them rated 2.65 and both are on offer around 6.0 which coupled is 3.0 and enough of a margin to tempt me to play.Streama will be handy and she loves the Randwick mile and seems sure to figure in the finish.Toydini will be back and charging late.

Advised Bets:  Streama 0.90 units at 5.50 or better-around 6.0 is ok doubt it get's much bigger

                        Toydini  0.90 units at 5.50 or better-monitor on Betfair


Race 9
Prince Cheri has just kept improving and I expect he's got a bit more to offer yet.He's a worthy favourite here and 4.60 makes plenty of appeal.I have him 3.80

Advised Bet; Prince Cheri 1.30 units at 4.0 or better-4.60 with Bet 365 (with guarantees) is OK


Flemington

Race 6
Sea Moon would win this easily if finding the best of his form.There hasn't been much sign of it on his two Aussie runs though and he's not a serious betting proposition at 2.80.Moudre and Tanby are possible alternatives but I'll take a chance on the ex Andre Fabre trained Brigantin at around 26.0.He's a better horse on fast ground so last weeks flop in the mud at Mornington is easily forgivable.If he's going to be a serious Melbourne cup hope he'll need to be going very close here today.I've got him at 12.0 so I see real value in his price

Advised Bet: Brigantin0.40 units EW at 14.0 or better-monitor betting and shop around


Race8
Most of these have Caulfield and Melbourne Cups in their sights so today is not Finals day.I don't want to be taking shorts about horses who are not going to be 100% firing until next start or later.With that in mind the ones that appeal as value are Dear Demi,Silent Achiever and Happy Trails and at the odds I'll be backing all three and hoping for a result

Advised Bets:  Dear Demi      0.30 units at 15.0 or better-monitor on Betfair
                        Silent Achiever 0.30 units at 15.0 or better-monitor on Betfair
                        Happy Trails     0.20 units at 28.0 or better-monitor on Betfair


Race 9
Aeronautical has a G1 placing (beaten 0.2l) over track and distance.Sessions had the verdict over him last time but also had a much softer run.

Advised Bet: Aeronautical 1.25 units at 4.20 or better-take the 5.50 with Bet365 (with guarantees) for 50% or the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance  

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