Tomorrow's Cox Plate at Moonee Valley is likely to be run on ground no worse than Dead if the current weather predictions are correct.The race has lost some of it's lustre with the scratching earlier this week of the stellar mare Atlantic Jewel due to injury.Instead of two world class horses taking part tomorrow we are left with just the one.
It's A Dundell stands out amongst this field.His demolition jobs in the Rosehill Guineas and The ATC Derby last Autumn marked him out as a colt of very high standing.This Spring he has already claimed the scalp of Atlantic Jewel in the Underwood stakes.He has had a setback with a foot issue but his trainer seems sure he's fit and ready to fire tomorrow.Gate 13 looks no positive initially but the majority of this field race back and McDonald should have no difficulty gliding over to race on pace or at worst just behind it.There are some very nice horses in opposition tomorrow,Puissance De Lune,Fiorente,Green Moon,Happy Trails,Foreteller,Super Cool and Long John are the other main players but they all fall a fair bit behind what It's A Dundeel is capable of if he can run to his best.
I expect him to get the run of the race and win and current quotes of around 4.20/4.25 are substantial "overs" according to my figures.I have him rated at 2.80 absolute max.Would be shorter but for the foot issue that held up his preperation.
Advised Bet: It's A Dundeel 1.80 units at 3.0 or better-take the current quote for 50% of the stake and monitor with the balance.I think the closer we get to post time the shorter this horse will be
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