Friday 18 October 2013

Caulfield Cup Day

Caulfield Cup day marks the start of three weeks of full on action in Victoria.Apart from the top class racing at the metropolitan tracks there are the hugely competitive provincial cup's meetings at Seymour,Geelong,Sale and Bendigo.Caulfield is a Dead 4 to begin with but will upgrade to a Good 3 at some point.Randwick in Sydney today is a Good 3 and a warm day there so expect fast ground.
No bets at this stage at Randwick as markets there are very close to my figures but there may be one or two if markets move a bit.Possible interest too in the last at Bendigo and if I'm playing there or at Randwick then I'll "tweet" the details through as early as possible.

Caulfield

Race 4
Famechon did really well last time as he never found a good position and had no choice but to sit wide throughout.He should get a much better run today from a good gate and I expect him to be handy to the pace or tracking it at least.San Diego will find this track more suitable than Moonee Valley last time where he was bailed up on the rail throughout.He's a hope although you could easily argue that Bring Something's effort was the stronger out of that race.I have Famechon rated at 6.00 so happy to be with him at the 7.50 on offer

Advised Bet: Famechon  0.85 units at 6.20 or better-take the 7.50 on offer now

Race 5
Avoid Lightning can sit behind a hot speed here and will be very strong late.She's already proven around this grade and strikes me as the most likely winner here.I have her at 5.00.Members Joy will be spot on today and she'll be charging home out wide.I have her at 9.00.

Advised Bets: Avoid Lightning 1 unit at 5.20 or better-take the 6.0 on offer now
                        Members Joy     0.55 units at 10.0 or better-12.0 available now-monitor

Race 6
I can't believe they bet 19.00 Conservatorium here earlier in the week.I missed the boat and hate taking much shorter but at 7.50 now this is still the value and I expect it to shorten further.There are negatives around the others here and this one has rock solid form.I have at 6.00

Advised Bet: Conservatorium 0.85 units at 6.20 or better-take the 7.50 now

Race 8
Honorius is racing in great heart this prep and although he has to give 4kg's to the other major hopes I think he's classy enough to right in the finish.I have him 5.00 absolute maximum.Very keen he'll run a big race.

Advised Bet: Honourius: 1 unit at 5.0 or better-monitor betting here

Race 10
With Forgotten Voice failing to make the field one of the earlier advised bets is voided and there are changes to the prices posted on Thursday.Hawkspur is now rated 4.65,Royal Descent now 5.15 and Silent Achiever now 6.50.

Advised Bets: Hawkspur            1.05 units 
                        Royal Descent     0.95 units
                        Silent Achiever    0.75 units   
Already advised My Quest for Peace 0.15 units EW and Ethiopia 0.15 units EW
Shop around for the best deals here and keep monitoring,Ladbrokes offer Double The Odds probably only for a few bucks but look at whats on offer and get the best you can.

Good luck and have a great day.

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