Caulfield Cup Rated Prices & Comments

With the weather forecast looking good and no rain of any consequence on the horizon it seems safe to go ahead and put these prices up.It is Melbourne though remember and if the weather does turn then I will be making changes to these.These prices are based on a Good 3 track which if no rain arrives is what we will have come late Saturday afternoon.

Hawkspur             5.00
Royal Decent        5.50
Silent Achiever     7.00
Fawkner                13.0
Forgotten Voice     15.0
Ethiopia                 21.00
Jet Away                21.00
My Quest For Pce.21.00  
Dandino                26.00
Glencaddam G.     51.00
Julienas                 51.00
Mr.Moet                66.00
Manighar               66.00
Kelinni                  66.00
Moriarty                66.00
Waldpark               81.00
Mister O'Ceirin     101.00
Sneak a Peek         101.00
Dear Demi            101.00
Tuscan Fire           151.00
Oasis Bloom         151.00 

Sneak a Peek and Oasis Bloom are both reserves and require horses above them to drop out to gain a start.

I would have Hawkspur shorter here were it not for the awkward gate which does have the potential to make things difficult although he normally does settle back anyway.I'm confident that Hawkspur.Royal Decent and Silent Achiever stand out as the three major hopes and my figures make it 1.90 about one of the three coming out on top.If your looking for value outside these three then My Quest for Peace, Ethiopia and the UK raider Forgotten Voice look good value.Don't be put off Forgotten Voice because he is also a Hurdler.He's twice won ultra competitive high grade handicaps at Royal Ascot.He also has an outstanding trainer,a world class jockey and he should get a sweet run from a good gate.
There is no point rushing in to back anything that's short yet.Bookies will be offering specials galore on this and prices will generally get better closer to post time.My Quest For Peace and Forgotten Voice have both trimmed up this afternoon though so I doubt they will get much better.

Advised Bets:  My Quest for Peace 0.15 units EW at 34.0 with Sportsbet/IAS
                         Forgotten Voice       0.15 units EW at 41.0  with Sportsbet/IAS
                         Ethiopia                   0.15 units EW at 41.0  with Ladbrokes,Luxbet,Bet 365 

I'll have a look at a strategy for the others later.
Back tomorrow