Moonee Valley is a Dead 4 and drying so it may get to a Good 3 as the day progresses.Warwick Farm is a Good 3 and a dry day forecast so it'll only get faster.I'm not an expect on track management but there is some consternation about the watering policy at Warwick Farm and how it will affect today's surface.I believe they have had morning frosts and have watered on top.Maybe bias so watch for it early.
August Saturday's are always trappy with all these good horses resuming over inadequate trips so only the one bet at this stage today.If markets loosen up a bit there may be more and if so I'll send via Twitter.
Moonee Valley
Race 8
General Offer get a nice run trailing the leader here.The ground was too soft for him on his comeback run but nevertheless he ran respectfully enough from a hopeless position.1200m is his trip (1300m just seems to stretch him) and he looks good value at the 8.50 on offer this morning with Sportingbet/Centrbet.
Advised Bet: General Offer 0.85 units at 6.50 or better.take the 8.50 on offer now
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