Third day of the Goodwood meeting and three other flat meetings today.Expect all venues to dry out today from the morning going posts.Goodwood will be Good getting to Good to Firm perhaps as the day progresses.
Just two advised bets at this stage but a couple of other possibilities depending on developments and any further bets will be sent via Twitter.
Goodwood
Race 3
If Mount Athos is Melbourne Cup bound he'll struggle to be competitively handicapped there if he manages to win here today.The Melbourne Cup is $3 million or so to the winner whereas the Goodwood version pays out around $90,000.If the horse's long term plan is Melbourne will he be fit and raring to go today or just ticking over nicely until the weights are out?
Caucus knocked over Biographer last time and I think that's very strong two mile form.Most of these have had their time in the sun and I want to be with the young progressive sort here.I think he's no more than a 5.50 chance today so the current 7.50 is very appealing
Advised Bet: Caucus 0.90 units at 6.0 or better-take the 7.50 now for 50% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance
Race 7
Mean It has only seen ground with cut in it so the drying conditions coupled with his rider being relatively inexperienced may encourage layers to take him on a bit.He comes here of a ten week break but his two fresh runs have been his best and this is a very winnable race for him.He'll have to go back from a wide gate but there will be pace on aplenty here so he should get his chance.I've got him at 6.0 on my figures and 7.0 is available and more will surely be on offer on Betfair
Advised Bet: Mean It 0.85 units at 6.50 or better-monitor on Betfair and average in.
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