Tuesday 19 February 2013

Sandown & Wyong Today

Warm and Sunny conditions should see Sandown quickly up graded to a Good 3.Wyong is a Good 3 now and there are a few showers around but expect it will stay Good but obviously monitor whats happening as the day progresses.
There is nothing that stands out early on the Wyong programme so no advised bets there today.
Sandown is a good midweek card overall I think

Sandown
Race 1
Grand Ducal used to be a very decent racehorse.He finished fourth to the great Sea The Stars in the Irish Champion Stakes and then well beaten behind the same horse in the "Arc".Last time he ran very well behind Platinum Jack in one of these 3000m slogs that they put on regularly in Melbourne to bulk out the midweek cards.D.Thornton replaces J.Kissick as a late change but he still will have the 3kg's claim.Sandown will suit him better than Moonee Valley and with only 1.5kg's over the 54kg's limit here he looks mighty hard to beat.He took a lot of rousting from C.Newitt to get going last time and you'd like to think that from gate 2 he's be ridden a little more prominently today.Ideally he should be bustled up to lead entering the straight and he should beat these.I'm going to listen for any clues to riding tactics here on TVN and will tweet any update.My twitter account is new and only two followers so far but if you are following the blogs you should sign up for the tweets as there will be extra info that hopefully can help you get an edge and a PROFIT.Grand Ducal 1.90 on my figures best price out there now is 2.25 (Betfair 2.30).We'll monitor this one

Race 6
Ajeed(got soft lead when winning maiden) is favourite here at 3.50 but Beaumaris should be.Close seconds behind Bass Straight and Petite Diablesse is easily the best form on offer here.With A.Forbes claiming 3kg's he looks very well in here.Does settle back but Ajeed,Champagne Tales,Stockton and possibly Mightiest will go forward here so I'm expecting a reasonable tempo that gives all runners a chance.I have Beaumaris fav at 4.20.The 5.50 has gone but 5.0 is still good shopping and that's generally available.Zimmerman looked a nice prospect winning his maiden last time.Big jump in grade but about the same jump as Ajeed really yet Ajeed is 3.50 and Zimmerman is 18.0/19.0 which is big overs against my rating of 10.0

Advised Bets

Sandown

Race 1    Grand Ducal   2.60 units to win at 2.20 or better-(monitor fluctuations on Betfair here)

Race 6    Beaumaris       1.20 to win at 4.40 or better (take the 5.0 generally available now)
               Zimmerman     0.50 units to win at 11.0 or better (take the 18/19.0 on offer now)

There will be tweets this afternoon if anything else comes up of interest


No comments:

Post a Comment