Metro Midweek meetings today at Sandown and Canterbury.Sandown has posted a Heavy 8 and further rain is forecast although the radar looks clear at the moment.Canterbury is a Dead 5 but with a dry day forecast expect it to upgrade to at least a Dead 4 and possibly a Good 3 by mid to late afternoon.
I'm giving the Sandown meeting a wide berth.A couple of races have standout favourites that look mighty hard to beat but are unproven on wet ground.Some of the other races are just too hard to price up with any accuracy/confidence.I'll be active on this meeting but on the lay side of the exchange and "tweets" will go out if there is anything I think worth passing on.
Canterbury
Race 5
Giving Kristy Lee another chance here.Things didn't pan out well for her last time,getting too far back and she never looked a winning hope although the run was sound enough.Her effort round here previously was a PB and if she can repeat that today she will take all the beating here.A few go forward and she can get a nice midfield smother and attack straightening up.She's had an easy trial to top her off for this.Best price is 3.60 against my rating of 3.0.Stablemate Agon looks the main danger but I won't be saving here.
Race 7
Mashkoor returns to Sydney after three very good efforts in Victoria.This is a tad easier I think than the race he contested last time and he gets 2kg's off for young Guymers claim.He'll race on pace or track the leader from gate 2.He's generally run well but hasn't won for a while which is always a slight concern but he's a worthy favourite in this race and I have him rated at 3.60 against a top quote of 4.20
Advised Bets
Canterbury Race 5 Kristy Lee 1.65 units to win at 3.20 or better -take the 3.60 now
Race 7 Mashkoor 1.35 units to win at 3.70 or better -take the 4.40 now
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