Looking at the radar there is still rain around Flemington and it seems certain to get more as the afternoon progresses.It does drain very well though so a light shower or two probably won't make much difference.Tricky to be confident about what's likely to happen weather wise.
Randwick is a Good 3 and a dry day there at the moment but thundery showers are forecast for late afternoon.All this weather uncertainty makes it pointless going off early about any thing.Any bets today will be sent via twitter
Flemington
Race 7
This is a cracking race but it's very difficult to identify any value about the ones I would be interested in backing.I'll pass here at this stage.
Race 8
Forgotten Voice will be a different proposition to Geelong last time if it's a genuine Dead 4 by this time.Really he wants it rattling fast though so any moisture will disadvantage him.Sertorius is an admirable racehorse and if he can run out 2800m he be involved.Precedence bounced back last time and his Flemington form is very good.Kellini was poor last week but he could back bounce here and there are other possibilities here too.Overall I think Sertorius is entitled to be favourite.I'm not committed to anything here at the moment.
Race 9
Disciple has improved with each preperation and I expect that improvement to continue. He'll need a career best to win this but I have him on top.Karacatis ran very well last Saturday and is a very live hope if he can run a strong 1400m but it's a big 'if'.Henwood is promising,Longport has very good form around high quality mares and the Darley runners have to be considered.Not committed at the moment
Will Tweet if I'm betting anywhere
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