No joy last week off admittedly very little action.3 bets (blog and tweets) and no winners for a loss of 3.45 units.
Canterbury is a dead 4 and will probably get to a Good 3 as it's a fine warm day.No bets there at this stage and unlikely I'll be betting there today.
Bendigo is a Dead 4 but it's forecast dry and hot so an upgrade seems inevitable unless the track has been overwatered.
Bendigo
Race 5
This is a very difficult race to get a handle on.It's full of horses you naturally want to oppose but obviously one has to win.Melting Moments who can race on pace is favourite at around 3.0.She finished well over 1200m at Kyneton last time but is far from certain to run 1400m.She's probably entitled to be around the head of the market but 3.0 is far too short and at < 4.0 I'll be opposing.
Race 6
Oltre Finito was very impressive last prep and finished up a comfortable winner at a Sandown Midweek RB 72.Similar grade today and if he returns in the same form then obviously very hard to beat.Surprised they haven't gone straight to Saturday grade with him though considering how impressive he was last prep.Early quotes around 3.20 seemed surprisingly tempting and he's into 2.50.Bit wary here with this favourite.Edgewood,Little Bro and to a lesser extent Union Gap are other possibilities.
Race 7
Wimba produced a much better effort last time when just going down to the progressive Royal Island.He's lightly raced so he's entitled to get better but that was far better than he's shown before and it was on wet ground.He's the leader here so if he runs to that level again he'll be hard to toss.Just Reminiscing is the alternative-Linda Meech has the job of ensuring that Wimba doesn't get too much of a start on her.Chilli Beach is a query at 1600m.Not sure here
Race 8
There are I think only three hopes here.Cool Attraction ran away with a very moderate race at Donald last time.She's got young Thornton's 4kg claim again and is suited by the mile.She's got potential to do better so I can't entirely dismiss here here.She's Pretentious is a solid reliable type and she was clear second best last time after conceeding first run.Her problem is her get back run on style and the lack of obvious pace in this race.Galway Warrior ran away with a maiden here at the last meeting.She'll track the pace from a good gate and is clearly the most likely.2.50 is marginal value against my 2.35.
If I'm playing today I'll send details via twitter
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