Wednesday 25 September 2013

Seymour Today

Very showery around Seymour this morning so the morning post of Dead 5 may be a bit optimistic and if more rain comes it could be genuinely Slow or worse.Essential to monitor weather conditions and look out for bias.

Race 8
Livery is a short quote in early markets around 2.10.He's won on very wet ground in England but that was a very weak 4 runner event.He has definite staying ability but I doubt he's anything special.Miss Outshine was very good winning at Geelong and she showed there that she has a really good turn of foot.She's had two wins on the synthetic and hasn't seen wet ground yet.Her Dam won her maiden on heavy so hopefully she can handle it.I don't think there should be anything between these two in the market and if it was dry I would definitely have Miss Outshine as clear favourite.She's 4.40 with the TAB and I have her at 3.30

Advised Bet: Miss Outshine 1.50 units at 3.50 or better-take the 4.40 for 40% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance

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