Newcastle stages it's two day Cup meeting with today's highlights the Spring Stakes and the Cameron Handicap.It's posted a Dead 5 but it's drying out so expect an upgrade.Bendigo is a Slow 7 and there is a chance of more rain moving in from the west as the afternoon goes on.
There are bets in two races at this stage and there is a possibility of more at Bendigo but I want to have a look at the weather and track conditions before making ant further commitments .
Bendigo
Race 5
Poppy's Bot comes into this off a win in a 58 grade race and also has a wide barrier to overcome.Those negatives are outweighed by the fact that he's a big strong scopey type and he's improving rapidly.He's massive overs on my figures at 14.0 (has been higher elsewhere) as I only have him at 5.0 here
Advised Bet: Poppy's Boy 1 unit at 5.50 or better-take the 14.0 now before it goes
Newcastle
Race 7
My first thoughts on looking at this was how attractively Toydini was weighted with most of them on the limit but that he'd probably be using this race to top him off for the Epsom at Randwick.When I looked at the Epsom weights I realised that he probably needs to win here to guarantee a start there.So expect him to be ready to go today.His comeback run was full of merit and there'll be enough pace on here to suit him.The other one that appeals is High Esteem who was very good at Caulfield last time and still has some more to offer.
Early markets are at 25/30% here and will tighten up so monitor these two on Betfair and average in
Advised Bets:
Toydini 1.30 units at 3.90 or better- monitor on Betfair
High Esteem 0.90 units at 6.0 or better- monitor on Betfair
If there is more today I'll send it via Twitter
No comments:
Post a Comment