Friday 1 August 2014

Goodwood Day Four - August Newsletter # 1

Goodwood Day Four and a dry day expected and Good to Firm ground.
It's been good racing but betting wise a bit frustrating with very few bets including one unlucky second. There are only two early bets today and both are at decent odds in very tough races.

Race 1
Encke returns from an enforced prolonged break.He's the best horse if able to show his best but it's a big ask to come back and be at the top of your game after almost two years off. Perthers Moon has the best recent form but he's well found in the market at 2.70. Quest For Peace is back with Cumani after trying his hand in Australia.Cafe Society has to improve to win here but the best of him is yet to be seen. Songcraft is the other possibility. Tough race to be confident about.

Race2
Shifting Power's Guineas' efforts, fourth at Newmarket and second at The Curragh represent the best form.He ran a bit below that form last time in France but he's back from G1 to G3 here so he's clearly the horse to beat. Bow Creek was very good under top weight in the Brittannia and he's a clear second pick for me. I'm not keen on this race betting wise as there are a few that are capable of improving past the two obvious ones here.Pass

Race 3
Very open handicap and any number of hopes. Nevertheless I'm keen to be with Magic City after an eye catching return to form when second at Salisbury last time. He won at this meeting last year and then followed up again here 3 weeks later winning easily off the mark he races off today. He got home well over a mile last time and is a clear top pick for me in a difficult race.

Advised Bet: Magic City: 0.55 units at 10.0 or better-is 11.5 on Betfair-monitor there

Race 4
They will fly here. I want to be on something coming from off the pace here. Things haven't panned out well for G Force since his dominant win at the York Spring meeting.There are valid excuses for both subsequent defeats although this is a higher grade.I'm sure he's a high class sprinter so I'm giving him another try today. There are many hopes here though.

Advised Bet: G Force 0.65 units at 8.50 or better-is 10.5 on Betfair-monitor there

Race 5
Nursery-Pass

Race 6
Muteela will be hard to catch especially if she gets left alone in front but the market reflects that and 3.25 is a bit skinny. I have no confidence in this race at all and will not be playing here.

Race 7
Tough open handicap and I can't find any angle into this race at all-Pass

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