Tuesday 12 August 2014

Bendigo & Kensington Today - August Newsletter # 10

Bendigo is a Dead 5 and it's dry and fresh there so it may get an upgrade at some point.
The Kenso track is posted a Slow 7. It's sunny and dry there so again it may upgrade.
The Kensington meeting makes little appeal early and I doubt that will change unless there is a dramatic market change somewhere.
Bendigo is a very competitive card and the later races are good midweek events

Bendigo

Race 5
Soosa Rama won her first 3 starts and the last of those wins was a very solid effort before failing off this mark over further.She's had an OK trial but it's no surprise they have chosen to put a claimer on her.Get's the weigh down to 58.5kg's. All her wins were on fast ground and her dam was a dead set dry tracker so any moisture in the ground would have me wary of backing her today. There are none here that I could emphatically say can't win but there may be some value here depending on how the track is playing. Possibly a small bet at odds later.

Race 6
Longeron is favourite in some books here but I can't see why.He's a hope but he'll need to lift a fair bit on his two efforts so far this prep. Devonshire Duke and Appoint both ran really well at the Valley last time and they are on top on my ratings here. Both are on pacers with low draws and near the fence is probably going to be inferior ground here today. I may do something around these two here but want to have a look at how this track is playing first. You can often get of the rail here without to much trouble on the turn. Possible play here later

Race 7
Early markets slightly favour Black Tomahawk over Rock Vantage and I agree but drying ground would help Rock Vantage so conditions need monitoring here. Again possible bet here later

Race 8
This is as strong a BM 70 as you are likely to see at midweek level. It should prove a very strong form reference for the future. Yesterday's Songs got a bit too far back last time and it was a very sound effort to finish third. He was coming off a 6 week absence there too so he should be spot on today. Oliver replaces Boss and he gets the one eyed blinker to try to correct the laying in tendency he showed last time. He's hard to beat but that laying in quirk puts me off a bit and at 2.20 he's too short.
Running Bull meets him on3kg's better terms today after young Tilley's claim.He was very good on pace at Caulfield and there is probably more to come from him. Tucanchoo is promising and has claims. Dubosc ran well after a two year absence but it will be a mighty effort to win here today.
Dillon Hall is improving and drying ground would help him.This is a lot harder than the race he won on the synthetic but there's definitely more to come from him. Mysonharry ran in G2 races last prep.
Not committed here at this stage but may do something here later

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