Day One of the July Meeting and a really excellent day's racing in prospect.
It's Good to Firm ground but there is a band of rain threatening and it's hard to call if there will be any significant rain before or during racing. It may just be drizzle until late afternoon or evening.There is the potential for a fairly good soaking if it arrives.
Race 1
This is a really good G3 for 3-y-olds full of progressive horses and it should be a very good marker and prove strong form.
Windshear is a very likeable sort and ran a fine race when going under to a potentially very useful one at Royal Ascot. That's the best form on offer and with the extra furlong here likely to be a positive I want to be with him again. Forever Now was most impressive winning his maiden and is pitched straight into group class here. it's a huge class rise but Gosden is a master placer of his horses so you must respect his chance here. Hartnell won over two miles at Royal ascot and the drop back in trip against some really nice horses is likely to find him out I feel. Odeon is a decent horse but needs to settle better but is a threat to all if he does.Vent De Force has looked a really good prospect but on wet ground.If can handle a fast surface he's a sound hope here
Advised Bet: Windshear 1.65 units at 3.20 or better. 4.0 on offer is good value
Race 2
G2 for 2-y-olds over 6 furlongs.
Jungle Cat's third at Royal Ascot is the best form showed so far but there are a couple of likely big improvers after promising debut's in the Hannon trained Ivawood and the Varian trained Belardo.
The Great War was odds on at Royal Ascot but disappointed there-O'Brien sends him back to the UK again so maybe he should be forgiven for last time. There are others here that would be no big surprise. Not betting here but a good race.
Race 3
The Stoute trained duo Arab Spring and Hillstar dominate here.Arab Spring is a rapid improver and he demolished a quality field of handicappers at Royal Ascot. He jumps to G2 here but Ryan Moore has chosen him over the proven Hillstar so that speaks volumes for his chances.Hillstar is a solid G2 performer and he was sound running second to Telescope at Ascot-Dettori gets the ride with Moore preferring Arab Spring. Dandino is the other possibility and he will be fitter for the Ascot run.He's seven now though and has been around a bit but double figure odds are a fair price if you like him.
Arab Spring is a bit short now around 2.20 (I have him 2.35 and would need 2.60 to be betting) but he'll be heavily backed and may start a shade in the red.
Race 4
Very competitive 3-y-old handicap. The two I like are Mount Logan and What About Carlo but rattling fast ground would put me off betting and I'll only be playing if the rain has come. I suspect both may be a bit suspect on very fast ground.Mange All jumps from maiden grade but Haggis is a master placer and you have to respect.Madeed was very solid in the Brittania at Ascot and Insaany won well here last time.Ventura Quest at odds is another possibility as the best of him has yet to be seen. Waiting on the weather here before finalizing anything.
Race 5
2-y-old Maiden.
No money early for the unraced ones and difficult to line up the ones who have some form. I can't help with this race and happy to watch and learn
Race 6
Listed event for 3-y-olds over a mile
Zarwaan ran into trouble in the Brittannia at Ascot and his form is very sound for this race.Stable is not really firing but you'd be brave dismissing him on that count. Pretzel blitzed his rivals at Ayr and has moved from Varian to Gosden (I don't know why). The third at Ayr has franked the form and he was the one I was most keen on here but 2.80 is very skinny but he'll be tough to beat. Table Rock was well held in the Brittania but has since won against older horses at the Curragh so O'Brien tries again with him. I like Windfast but I'm not sure a mile will suit but a live hope if he gets the trip. Parbold looks to be going backwards.
Not committed here at the moment.
Race 7
Oh So Sassy has improved a great deal since being switched to the polytrack. If that improvement is carried forward here then the rest will need to look out but it's less likely than likely overall. Over 7.0 on Betfair is fair enough if you want to take the chance but I don't want to play here.
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