Caulfield is posted a Slow 6 and it's a dry day so there is a possibility that it may get an upgrade depending on how accurate the initial reading is.
Canterbury is a Good 3 and a dry day in Sydney so expect good fast racing ground.
I have unavoidable commitments late afternoon today so I haven't looked too closely at the last two races from each meeting. Nevertheless there are three of interest today:
Caulfield
The early races here don't make much appeal betting wise with markets as they are now.
Race 5
A few go forward here and I thought that fact might hold up the price about Hard Romp who is on top on my figures. I've missed the 4.60 offered this morning and he's now close to where he should be at around 3.80. I have him rated 3.50. He caught a tartar last time but beat the rest of the field easily enough.I've had a 50% on at 4.0 and will wait to see how the market moves before committing anymore.
Advised Bet: Hard Romp 1,45 units at 3.70 or better-take the 3.90 now for 50% of the stake and monitor with the balance.
Canterbury
Race 4
There looks to be a false favourite here in Emerald City who ran away with C1 event at Kembla last time. He's a promising horse but this is a higher grade today and at around 3.0 he looks far too short to me. Vite Loni ran well at Grafton but is a query over 1900m. Flying Sebring was sound here last time and he now steps up to 1900m and has to prove he can run it too. That leaves a few I cannot fancy and Royal Adventure who I put up on the blog a couple of weeks ago. She ran well there and was held up a bit on the turn but finished off nicely. Prepared to try her again today.
Advised Bet: Royal Adventure 1.50 units at 4.50 or better-take the 5.50 now for 50% of the stake and monitor with the balance.
Race 5
Thousand Carat comes from the same form line as Royal Adventure in race 4.He was a gallant second there and I fancy he can go one better today.He goes forward and with gate 1 may get control of things here-will be handy to the pace at the very least. Plenty Special is early favourite but he was a bit plain the last two runs and appears to me to have roughly the same chance as his stablemate Loophole. Life Of Reilly ran well at Grafton and is another possibility.
Advised Bet : Thousand Carat 1.45 units at 3.70 or better-take the 4.0 on offer now for 50% of the stake and monitor with balance
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