Tuesday 8 July 2014

Bendigo, Canterbury, and Ramornie at Grafton - July Newsletter #5

Bendigo is a Slow 7 after morning rain. The radar looks clear at the moment but there is a chance of more rain through the afternoon.
Canterbury is a Good3 and fine but very windy. Grafton is a Dead 4 and fine and there are 30kph winds there too so it should dry out .

Bendigo

Race 6
Hill Spy finds a much easier race than the one he contested at the Valley last time. He ran very well there and drawing out here on the big track should suit his style.The negatives are 62kg's on wet ground and the possibility that he's better on a drier surface. West Africa is hard to weigh up.He certainly looked better than a 62 rater when bolting in at Kilmore on debut. He's been favourite both times since in city races and has been poor on both occasions. Auto Drafter is a horse that I think has a bit more to offer.His effort resuming was good in a fair race for the grade on a slow track. If the front two in the betting fail he may be the one most likely to capitalize. Not committed to anything here at the moment.

The rest of this card is tricky and at this stage there is very little that appeals.There are a couple of possibilities depending on how the weather is looking and how the markets shape up but no strong opinions at the moment.


Canterbury

Race 4
Deep Field looked very good bolting up on his debut.He's unbackable odds here today but he's an interesting horse.

Race 5
I like Coolring here back to midweek grade and 1200m.The problem is the forecast wind which if it's coming from the North is going to disadvantage front runners.Passing at the moment

Race 7
The two most likely here are Royal Adventure and Khalid both of which will be suited by the step up in trip.Khalid has come along steadily since arriving from Germany and was a sound third last time. his wins over there have been at 2000 and 2200m
Royal Adventure was only run down late last time and she'll be suited out to the 1900m now.
Loophole next best for me.
Probably doing something here but not committed yet.

Ramornie at Grafton
The winds here aren't as strong as at Canterbury but they may be a slight disadvantage to leaders.
Bearing that in mind you'd probably want to check out the pattern before playing.I thought Under The Sun first up and in blinkers first time was very interesting. Big Money draws 1 and is a get back run on type.He's been going very well but his rating has skyrocketted too and he looks very short in early markets.Testarhythm looks sure to go well with a nice trail from gate 3-looks sure to be around the money. Hidden Warrior has gone to Gordon Yorke-he was OK resuming and if he finds his best is a live hope. Again not committed at the moment.

Bets/Updates etc. sent via Twitter through the afternoon

No comments:

Post a Comment