Tuesday 15 July 2014

Cranbourne & Warwick Farm Today - July Newsletter # 11

Cranbourne is now a Heavy 10 after morning rain which seems to have cleared away now. The rail is back in the true position and that probably means up front on the rail will in the freshest ground is the place to be-early on at least.Some of the later races have a lot of speed so the run on types may get their chance then.
What an atrocious offering this is from RVL on a Wednesday. A good metro meeting in the middle of every week should be an absolute priority.
There are no early bets at Cranbourne for obvious reasons but there may be something later on depending on how the track plays.

Warwick Farm is a Dead 4 with showers around so any more rain may mean a downgrade-monitor.

Race 4
Maluti finds it hard to win but her effort last time was very good.Her strike rate is a negative and she's a get back/run on type and there is little obvious pace here. Britalia Kate has also been an eyecatcher of late but she's a serious risk at 1400m.Her only previous try at the trip was three starts ago and she looked a non stayer then. She also goes back and that negative is compounded by being drawn in gate 1. Star Of Helicon is a sound chance if she's fit enough (is she?) and looks overs at around 12.0. Hey Hey Renee and Sensualism are other possibilities.
May do something here but not committed yet.


Race 7
Perfect Weapon's very good second here recently reads as better form than Redhawks battling win at Kembla I think. Alcatraz was 4 lengths behind Perfect Weapon last time but was weak in the market and ran like he needed the run. He was promising last prep and he's a serious hope if he's fit enough today.He's 12.0 into 9.0 so expect him to be around the money.

Advised Bets: Alcatraz 0.65 units at 8.50 or better-sorry the cream has gone but 9.0 is still around.
                       Perfect Weapon 1.55 units at 3.40 or better -monitor the betting


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