Tuesday 17 June 2014

Royal Ascot-Day Two

Not a flying start to the meeting for me but no major damage done and still another four days to go to redress the balance.
Dry conditions will see the current Good upgrade to Good to Firm. So perfect punting ground likely for the next few days and hopefully I can capitalize on it.


Jersey Stakes  G3  7 Furlongs Straight

Both Muwaary (Gosden)  and Mustajeed (Weld) come here off very sound efforts in the French and Irish guineas respectively. They head the market and deservedly so as both are trained by seasoned pro's who tend to place their horses well.Back from G1 to G3 both can be expected to be very competitive here.
The drying ground will probably be viewed as a negative for both Musical Comedy and That Is The Spirit but both are promising and neither would totally shock here. Surdiman was a very good 2-y-o  but was a bit disappointing reappearing.He'll be fitter and the drying conditions should help him.
Redbrook won a Listed event in France and almost certainly has more to offer.
I've struggled with this race over many years and although the obvious does win occasionally it's generally challenging for the form student. Winners are rarely complete outsiders just a tad difficult to find. I'll be passing here.


Queen Mary Stakes G2  5 Furlongs Straight

Wesley Ward's well backed Hootenanny ran away with yesterday's Windor Castle Stakes so it's no surprise that his Spanish Pipedream has shortened up a fair bit for this event.Getting an accurate handle on US juvenile form is very difficult but at around the current 3.75 on Betfair I'd suggest there is little value there now.
Tiggy Wiggy is a useful filly and she's got figures very close to what is required generally to win this.Anthem Alexander was second favourite to an O'Brien hotpot when winning her maiden in explosive style at Tipperary.That win was very impressive and I don't really want to be opposing her here.I'm not yet committed to backing her but if I do bet here it will be her that I'll be with I think.
Harry's Moonlight from a stable that had a 2-y-o winner yesterday has to be seriously considered and Blue Agean and Dangerous Moonlight are other possibilities.


Prince Of Wales's Stakes G1   One Mile 2 Furlongs Round Course

Treve is an outstanding racehorse and if she runs up to her form of last season then this should be a simple task for her.Fast ground isn't a problem as she's handled it well before. I won't be playing here as odds on shot's only ever appeal if I'm sure they are on an upward spiral. Here you relying on her showing what she did last year. Mukhadram ran very well in this race last year and ran a fine race when second in Dubai's World Cup Magician is a Breeders Cup winner who'll be much better suited back on a dry track than when going under in the wet last time. If The Fugue finds her best form she'd be entitled to figure here. Can't oppose Treve but won't be backing either.


Duke Of Cambridge Stakes G2 One Mile Straight

Sky Lantern has the best form- just. She's a 4-y-o filly resuming and has a Group 1 penalty to carry as well. She's a very good filly on her day and a will be tough to beat if she returns in form.
There is little between Esoterique and Integral on their recent Newmarket clash and both will run well here.Purr Along and Fiesolana don't have to find that much to be factors here. Certify looked very promising until disappointing in Dubai last time. Tricky race and hard to be confident.


Royal Hunt Cup Handicap  One Mile Straight

I'm unreservedly with the favourite Abseil here. Most of these are fully exposed but Abseil still has plenty more to come and a mark of 97 looks generous given his potential. He got too far back on his reappearance at Chester and scrambled home at Epsom last time after getting unbalanced on the camber in the last furlong.This track will suit him much better and he looks certain to be a major player here. 6.50 may seem skinny odds in a 30 runner handicap but over the years the well handicapped improving types do very well in these competitive Royal Ascot handicaps providing the ground is decent.

Advised Bet: Abseil 0.85 units at 6.0 or better-monitor on Betfair


Sandrigham Handicap  Listed One Mile Straight

Muteela, Crowley's Law and Odisseia have all been solid recent winners and have sound claims despite the handicapper having his say. I couldn't put anyone off any of these three but all face a harder task here and there are any number of hope's in what is a very tricky race to assess.Very difficult race and I will not be playing here.

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