The track was watered again last night and the rail has been moved out to provide fresh ground. It's been perfect "punting" ground this week. The official going is Good to Firm with Good patches on the Round Course.
The results have been very "punter friendly" overall this week and bookies will be behind. I wish I'd been able to capitalize on it a bit more and on reflection I've passed on a couple that could have easily been backed. That's punting-lots of marginal calls and you just have to take the long term view and not let the ones that go unbacked rattle you.
Albany Stakes G3 6 Furlongs Straight
With no disrespect to the David Evans stable you don't normally expect them to be fronting up at the Royal meeting with a live hope but there's no denying that Patience Alexander has the form on the board to be hard to beat here.If this was in a top stable it would be going off around half the odds on offer here. She beat Tiggy Wiggy (narrowly beaten in the Queen Mary on Tuesday) fair and square at York last Month and looked then as though an extra furlong would suit admirably. That's emphatically the best form on offer and she's overs at 5.50 against my figures of 3.80. The Ward trained US raider Sunset Glow has to be considered as do the Godolphin duo Bitter Lake and Elite Gardens. Bazzana bolted up in a Windsor maiden on wet ground and wouldn't totally shock here.All of these will have to improve a fair bit though to match the form that Patience Alexander has already shown. The other one that I want to back here is the Irish raider Sexy Legs who was just outbobbed in a good maiden at The Curragh after tanking through the race.Fitter and a live chance.
Advised Bets: Patience Alexander 1.30 units at 4.0 or better-monitor on Betfair
Sexy Legs 0.55 units at 9.50 or better -monitor on Betfair
Wolferton Handicap Listed One Mile 2 Furlongs Round Course
Bold Sniper owned by the Queen will have had this as his target for some time.He ran well over shorter on his seasonal debut and he'll be hard to beat here. He's given the impression of been a bit tricky though and I don't want to get involved with him at 3.30. Cafe Society should have beaten him at Ascot last season when most unlucky although the weights are more in Bold Snipers favour today.
Cafe Society has just been sold to race for the Gai Waterhouse yard and although he hasn't left the UK yet he's listed as been trained by Waterhouse today. He had a soft win a month ago at Windsor prior to being sold and he's definitely a horse you want to have onside.Drops back a bit in trip here but that doesn't concern me. I liked the fact that he was ridden a bit closer at Windsor and doubt Waterhouse will want him ridden out the back as he was most of last year.There aren't that many I can really enthuse about in this race most are pretty exposed although the other one that has to be considered is Saxo Jack who was most unlucky at Newbury in the Autumn before doing really well in Dubai.
Advised Bet; Cafe Society 0.85 units at 6.50 or better-has been backed 7.0 still available
King Edward V11 Stakes G2 One Mile 4 Furlongs Round Course
The day gets decidedly tricky from here.
What I can tell you about this race is that both Scotland and Seagull Star will have improve a fair bit to figure but both are from stables who place there horses well so are not exactly forlorn hopes.The rest all have claims of one sort or another and it's a race I cannot get a handle on at all. Pass
Coronation Stakes G1 One Mile Round Course
This is a below par renewal. I can find negatives about all of these bar My Titania and she has to improve a fair bit to win but is promising.Like the previous race it's a very hard race to weigh up with any confidence and despite it been a G1 it's an easy race to give the elbow to from a betting perspective.
Queens Vase Listed 2 Miles Round Course
Anything Mark Johnston runs here has to be seriously considered as the trainer has a very strong record in this race.His representative Hartnell is the one horse here I'm sure will stay the two mile trip. The fast ground is a worry for him though and despite his solid credentials distance wise I don't really want to back him.
Marzocco and Century are the other two with arguably the best form but both are queries at the trip.
Min Alemarat will probably stay but needs to improve and may not like the ground.
Confusing race .Pass
Buckingham Palace Stakes Handicap 7 Furlongs Straight
This is almost a pin job. Russian Realm is going well but he's up in the handicap and 6.50 is way too short.I've layed him at 6.4 and think he should be in double figures. Horsted Keynes is promising but doesn't look that well handicapped to me and he's another that should be in double figures.
Watchable is probably well handicapped but the fast ground is a major worry and he's been a big drifter almost certainly for that reason. Couldn't possibly back anything here.
There's no point in sending an update as this is later out than the earlier ones this week.
Any further Bets/updates sent via Twitter during racing
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