Friday 20 June 2014

Moonee Valley & Randwick Today

Both tracks post Dead 5's.Moonee Valley has some showers around and Randwick is set to be dry.
Upgrades/downgrades will depend on the accuracy of those morning readings.
I had a few possibles today but all have firmed overnight and I am going to need those markets to open up a little before committing to anything today.

Moonee Valley

Race 2

I like Klishina here but I'm worried about gate 2 and the lack of pace. She's best saved up for one last run at them and may find herself bailed up a a crucial point here. At around 5.0 I would probably play but she's just a tad too short at the moment.


Race 4

Jessy Belle with a good gate and a good 3kg claimer is on top but Street Allure is greatly feared so much did she improve last time after been too keen and wide as well.Longchamp Belle and I'm Fearsome both draw poor gates but are live hopes if you can swoop home here today.


Race 5

I'd be keen on Use a Lot here if he hadn't disappointed on his comeback run.Jockey blamed the wet but he'd run a blinder the season before on a very wet track when fourth in the Ballarat cup so I'm thinking maybe he simply wasn't fit enough. Not committed at this stage


Race 6

The Cleaner is a real "street fighter" and doesn't go down easily. Sensibly he's had a month off after his tough effort last time.He goes forward as does The New Boy and there is a chance they'll soften each other up.Fast and Free is having a good prep and he's the one most likely if The Cleaner has to work too hard up front. I thought Fulgar was looking a bit sour last time at Randwick. If the Sydney/Melbourne switch sweetens him up a bit he'd go very close here.


Race 7

 I wouldn't want to take a short price Le Bonsir if there was any serious juice in the ground as he's a dead set dry tracker. Elite Elle likes the sting out but draws awkwardly and is becoming a bit frustrating. That leaves Nearest the Pin (awkward gate) , Pillar Of Creation and Anlon as the others most likely.Tricky


Race 8

When Atlantis Dream won at Sandown I thought it was a big effort but subsequent winners that day came from off the pace so I'm not sure my initial thoughts were spot on. She is improving and deserves to be favourite but she's short enough with a wide draw to overcome. I keep backing Dare I Ask and she keeps running well without winning. Dunn aboard and a soft lead possible means I may get sucked in again-backs up from Wednesday 


Randwick

Race 2

Cradle Me got a soft lead last time but is usually ridden back.Both her and commanding wit have crept up the handicap after two successive wins. I keep coming back to Kristy Lee here but hoped she'd be better odds. Not committed yet.

Race 6

Rugged Cross draws wide and will go back so the tempo is crucial to his chances here. He got there just last time from the rear off a slow pace but this is a much tougher race.i'm not backing him at 3.50 but might be tempted around 4.0

Race 7

Longshoreman got posted 3 wide last time and did well in the circumstances.He draws 8 of 12 but should manage to get into a decent trailing spot today.Landing has gone from Waterhouse to Van Dyke and resumes after trialing well. Imperil was good at Hawkesbury but terrible last time. You'll Never is consistent but struggles to win and the bookies darling Specific Choice make up the other chances.

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