Tuesday 18 February 2014

Sandown Hillside & Warwick Farm Today

The Sandown track reopens today after being out of action for some months to allow a new surface to be laid.The middle of the week completely lost it's shape without Sandown and I'm very glad it's back and hope the new surface holds up well.There is plenty of racing scheduled there over the next few months and there are only a few Wednesday's coming up where we are not racing there.Today it's posted as a Good 3.A narrow but heavy band of rain has passed east of Melbourne this morning but looks to have missed the track.More rain is forecast from mid afternoon but the weather situation is volatile so keep monitoring it if your betting early.
Warwick Farm is already a Slow 6 and more rain is about to arrive there with plenty forecast over the next few hours.Expect a deteriorating surface as the afternoon progresses.In those circumstances early advise is pretty pointless so I'm happy to pass at this stage.

Sandown

There has been plenty happening in my personal life in the first few weeks of this year and as a result I don't feel I'm completely back in the groove racing wise although I'm getting there.
This meeting today has taken an age to assess and I'd like to be able to be positive about at least one or two runners but really it is very,very tough.That's my objective opinion and nothing appeals to me at all here as a bet at this stage.

Race 1
Watch and learn

Race 2
In racecard order Zuhayr,Kansha ,Lamentations and Rasa Lila look the most likely.Zuhayr has already been first past the post but knocked out for weighing in light.He ran well in a city maiden last time and he's likely to be involved.Kansha has started favourite every run and had a torrid run in a city maiden last time.it was a strong effort to finish just out of the placing there.Blinkers first time.Slight query about the extra 200m though.Lamentations was unlucky not to break through last time and the extra 300m should help him.Rasa Lila is the best priced of the four and she looks the value.Luckless last time,she will be suited by the trip and all her three efforts have been good.

Race 3
Not easy to evaluate.written was well backed to follow up her maiden win at Mornington last week. That was a forgive run and she's a hope but 3.0 is no value.Don't know here.

Race 4
Chloe In Paris was the one that caught my eye initially.Both her runs have been good as have her two recent trials.She draws out though and there is pace a plenty underneath her.They may take a sit but she's led in both her races.Plenty of others that you cannot dismiss so 2.60 is very short.Tansy looked good at Stony Creek and he's a definite chance but again 3.80 looks too short.Difficult race to evaluate accurately.

Race 5
Pyrrolic drops from G2 to this RB 70.His effort there was OK and he had little hope from where he was in the run.It was hardly eyecatching though and 2.60 is too short.Sabkhat gets blinkers first time and he was good last time.7.0 is OK if you like him.Silent Man.The Terricks (blinkers),Artic Song,Artie's Shore and Corporate Takeover are other possibilities.

Race 6
I couldn't really dismiss anything here.Very hard race.Rain may have arrived by now.

Race 7
Not A Llama was very good at Geelong and her mark of 67 is very attractive.Oliver rides and she's drawn for a good run.Worthy favourite but 2.40 is way too short.Duet is a sound hope and 10.0 is overs against my 7.0 but I'm not confident enough with my figures on this race to justify betting.

Race 8
Very tough race.Tooleybuck Kid disappointed last time and gets the first time blinkers on today.If you can forgive the latest effort he's got to be a sound chance.He's very short at 4.60 though although the others are hard to split and his potential upside is likely to see him retain favoritism here.

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