Very good programme at Moonee Valley tonight.Track is rated a Dead 4 but with drying conditions an early upgrade looks certain.Expect fast ground.
Race 4
If Sumakaray is in the same form as when she won here over Christmas she is clearly the one to beat.I was super confident about her last time and the early market moves were for her.Once the on course betting began the bookies were falling over themselves to lay her and she ran miserably.She had a slow recovery rate after that race so maybe there was an explanation for the poor run then.She's on offer around 4.80 tonight which looks very attractive if she's capable of running to her best.I've got her rated 3.0 but really want to see some market confidence before stepping in.
Advised Bets
Moonee Valley Race 4 Sumakaray 1.65 units to win at 3.30 or better.
I've listed her as an advised bet but suggest you monitor the market to guard against a chronic market drift like last time.
I'll "tweet" updates that I think are worthwhile throughout the evening
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