Guineas,Galaxy Day at Rosehill & Caulfield

Two Group 1's at Rosehill today the Guineas and the Galaxy.Track is rated Good 3 and no threat of rain at the moment but a chance of light showers later.Expect fast ground.I spent a long time on this card yesterday but couldn't find anything I wanted to back at the early prices.It's a great day's racing but it's a tough card if your punting so I'll be concentrating on the "lay" side of the exchange here today.
Caulfield is a Dead 4.It may upgrade but there is also the chance of showers.

Race 1
There is no obvious pace in this race which dampens my confidence in Goldoni.He is clearly the horse to beat.His Australian debut was very good when finishing hard over 1400m behind Centennial Park.That race was a better standard than this one and the extra 300m here suits him better.Prizum,Cosmic Causeway and Gold Sand are the other hopes.If I knew they were going to be positive on Goldoni I'd back him at 3.0 but as I don't know I'll probably pass.


Race 4
Bradman won a competitive race at Bendigo last time but has been raised 13 points as a result.Considering they all finished in a heap in that race I think he's been harshly treated.Pronto Pronto,Floatmyboat,Churchill Express and Delagos all finished within less than 2 lengths of Bradman in that race.Crystal Web has good solid recent form but has an awkward gate to deal.Both Murcielaga and Royal Island may have more to offer.The Adelaide raider Last Day is the one I like most here.He was a bit flat last time in a Group 2 event on Adelaide Cup day but his three previous efforts have all been good.He has the potential to be the best horse in this field and he's available at 5.00 against my rated price of 4.20.

Race 8
Bass Straight should be beating this field.His form around the best 3-y-old's in Victoria is very solid.The 2000m will really suit.The danger is He'snotthemessiah who was very good winning his maiden.The second there Duplicity Jones ran away with a city maiden on Wednesday.I'll be saving on him.


Advised Bets

Caulfield          Race 4      Last Day  1.20 units to win  at 4.40 or better-take the 5.0 on offer

                         Race 8      Bass Straight  1.65 units to win at 3.20 or better
                                         50% at the 3.80 now and shop on Betfair for 4.0 plus with other 50%
                                          He'snotthemessiah  0.35 units saver  at around 7.0