Two posts today an early one looking at Albury's cup meeting and a later one for Moonee Valley tonight.
Albury is listed a Heavy 8 but the rain has gone and the radar is clear.24 degree day forecast and no rain due till this evening so expect the track to dry out a bit.I've worked on Slow but it's an informed guess.
Race 5
Highest rated horse here is Road Trippin on 70 who isn't hopeless but has to concede 5kg's to some unexposed sorts and has a wide gate to overcome.Berkshire is favourite but looks too short to me around 4.00.Crusader General is progressive and handles wet ground.Clearwater Bay has a recent second in Sydney and Gladius won her first two starts before failing when favourite at Flemington.All of these are possibles but the one I'm interested in at odds is the John Ledger trained Secret Toy Buziness (odd name for a horse isn't it?).This filly can produce a power packed finish and her two wins at this distance last prep were very impressive albeit against modest horses.She was due to reappear on Wangaratta Cup day and was well backed for that race but was scratched at the barrier.She turned up as favourite at Echuca last time but was a big drifter that day.Her run there is best described as "never placed to challenge".Wet ground is an unknown so have to hope there.The evergreen R.Thompson travels down to ride three here today including this one.13.00 on offer at the TAB against my rated price of 7.50 looks attractive.
Advised Bet Albury Race 5 Secret Toy Bizness 0.65 units to win at 7.0 or better
Take the 13.00 on offer at the TAB
Coliseo looks hard to beat in the Cup if he handles the ground but there is no conclusive evidence that he will so 3.50 is hardly tempting.struggling to find one to oppose him with though.
No comments:
Post a Comment