Fantastic racing at Rosehill today with three group one's two of them top class and ultra competitive and a great supporting card.The track is rated a Dead 4 but with a forecast of 29 degrees expect an upgrade.There are some thundery showers dotted around on the radar so it may go to Good 3 but possible revert to Dead if they cop a heavy shower.
Caulfield is a Dead 4 but will upgrade to a Good 3 and again there is a possibility of later rain so it's possible that they too could finish up back on Dead.
Rosehill
Race 6
Silent Achiever is the one to beat here.She will clearly be improved for her recent run and this trip will see her improve a fair bit on what she achieved there.Fiveandahalfstar is a leading contender but with the ATC Derby his main objective he may just fall short of what's required today.Manighar was very plain last time and whilst it's too early to write him off you simply have to pass on him today.Hard to really enthuse about anything else as a winning hope.I have Silent Achiever at 3.30 against a top quote of 3.85.Shop around a bit here as bookies will be betting to very tight figures today.I haven't backed her yet I'm hoping to get 4.0 at some stage.
Race 7
With early markets around 120% it's clearly best to be looking to shop on Betfair here.Streama,Red Tracer and Pear Tart are not going as well as they have in previous preps.Steps In time has beaten them but not sure that form is quite as strong as it may read.Appearance is 10 points higher than when winning the Myer and doubt she's good enough of this mark.Dear Demi's mark is as a result of her form over further.She's on the same mark as Norzita who towelled her in the Flight Stakes and is the filly with overall the strongest form around this trip.Trained by Cummings she may have just needed the race when run down by Flying Snitzel last time.She's top pick.Star Of Giselle is a real hope.She's been steadily progressive and is very fairly weighted.She looked sure to win last time but was run down close home again giving the impression she could be made fitter.I cannot dismiss Benetta as the stable's "modus operandi" is usually to have them a tad soft the run prior to the big day.Flying Snitzel really did eat up the ground last time and it's possible being ridden for the last crack really did improve her many lengths.It should be possible to back all four of these and collectively get around 2.25 which may look very short but I have these four collectively taking up 55% of the market.
Caulfield
Race 4
Three main chances here are Under The Eiffel (good winning in Tassie but had the run of the race and seemed to improve a bit on wet ground),British General (ran very well again last time and has really improved this prep but, has a tricky gate and has had a hard prep) and Dubawi Gold ( very strong winning the Echuca Cup last after working a bit on speed)Of the three I much prefer Dubawi Gold who has gate 1 and hopefully will hold the rail.Young Sadler takes off 3kg's which he didn't at Echuca as it was no claims race so he's in here off 51.5kg's.I have him favourite here at 3.50 but 5.00 is available.
Race 6
Many chances here but one that makes plenty of appeal at odds is Honey Flower.She improved big time last prep and finished off winning at the Flemington carnival.11.0 on offer against my rating of 7.00
Advised Bets
Rosehill Race 6 Silent Achiever 1.50 units to win at 3.50 or better-shop around
Race 7 Norzita 1 unit to win look for 7.0 plus
Benetta 0.70 to win look for 7.50 plus
Flying Snitzel 0.60 to win look for 9.50 plus
Star Of Giselle 0.45 to win look for 20.0 plus
Caulfield Race 4 Dubawi Gold 1.40 to win at 4.0 or better
Race 6 Honey Flower 0.70 to win at 7.50 or better
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