Three G1's today so a great day in prospect.
Flemington is a Dead 4 but will quickly upgrade to a Good 3.Warwick Farm is a Good 3 and whilst there may be a light shower or two the track should play fast.
Flemington
Race 4
Puissance De Lune resumes and has been backed into around 3.50 already.Last prep he resumed of a marl of 78 over this trip and ran an eye catching fifth.Today his mark is 105 so he has to improve on his first up effort last prep by around 30/35 points if he's to be competitive.Considering he has bigger fish to fry later this prep and will almost certainly not be 100% would up today I think we need to look elsewhere for the winner.Wall Street was outpointed by Dany The Fox in the Seymour Cup running really well but the concession of 6kg's proving too much and he was 1.8 lenths down at the line.Today he meets Dany on 9kg's better terms.Wall Street is a very consistent performer his progress has plateaued but he consistently runs to his rating but struggles to win under handicap conditions as a result.The set weight here are all in his favour.
Race 6
Green Moon and the 3-y-o Super Cool head the market for the Australia Cup.Both are too short on my figures.Glass Harmonium is overs at 11.0 as he'll be on pace and if it's slow in the right place.Mawingo is also overs at 9.50 but I'm passing on both and backing Mr Moet once again.Flemington should suit better than Caulfield and he's very fit now.He keeps improving every run and just needs some luck in the run here from the wide gate.
Race 8
Spirit Song kept up her improvement last prep.He first up effort was very encouraging and she'll be much fitter today.The set weights here really suit her and Hi Belle.Both have awkward gates to deal with but they are bit ahead of the opposition quality wise and 4.40 Spirit Song looks the most attractive option against my rating of 3.70.The excellent C.Williams rides.
Race 9
Three hopes here,Star Of Giselle,British General and Sheila's Star and I like them in that order.Star of Giselle wasn't fully wound up when winning on her reappearance according to her trainer so fitter today she is the one to beat here.I have her a 3.40 chance here.
Warwick Farm
Race 1
Award Season is astayer with a future and I'll be surprised if he can't knock this lot off comfortably.The Mornington Cup last time was a "bridge too far" but a sound fifth there makes him mighty hard to beat here.2.05 available against my rating of 1.70
Race 3
Streama is the best Mare here and fitter for her recent good second is the one to beat here.The market has Steps In Time favourite but I have them the other way around.Streama 2.70,Steps In Time 3.50.
Race 5
Riva De Lago is back in the good books after winning at nice odds last time.With question marks over all the field here he is at least in career best form.A slight niggle is that he may be best at his home track Rosehill and I'd be more confident there than here.But at around 4.0 he's worth a play
Race 7
A lot of these are getting to the twilight of their careers.Silent achiever still I think has more to offer and I'm keen on her chances here.She's been backed so the cream has mostly gone but at 5.0 plus I will be playing.
Advised Bets
Flemington Race 4 Wall Street 1.40 units to win at 3.70 or better
Race 7 Mr Moet 1 unit to win at 5.0 or better
Race 8 Spirit Song 1.35 units to win at 3.90 or better
Race 9 Star Of Giselle 1.45 units to win at 3.60 or better
Warwick Farm Race 1 Award Season 2.95 units to win at 1.80 or better
Race 3 Streama 1.85 units to win at 2.85 or better
Race 5 Riva De Lago 1.30 units to win at 4.0 or better
Race 7 Silent Achiever 1.10 units to win at 5.0 or better
Shop around today.It's carnival time and bookies will be betting to low margins so monitor markets.
Any further news will be "tweeted" throughout the afternoon
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