Tuesday 22 January 2013

Ballarat & Kembla Today

Wednesday racing isn't what is was with the racing clubs moving to Friday evening fixtures.Commercially it makes sense for the clubs to race when their patrons are not tied up with work and business bit it does leave the early part of the week looking a bit shabby.
It's an ATC fixture at Kembla but it looks like a standard Kembla provincial meeting really with the added bonus for "participants" of plenty of extra prize money sloshing around.At some point over the next few weeks I'll be firing off a few blogs about the state of Australian Racing and the piss poor way it is administered but for now I'll stick to trying to find a winner or two.If your playing at Kembla today then good luck.I couldn't find anything to interest me there at all.The track is rated a Dead 4 and showers are forecast so don't automatically assume an upgrade is a given.

Typical provincial midweek meeting at Ballarat today.Dead 4 posted and a bit of drizzle forecast this morning.Radar looks all clear so I expect an upgrade to Good 3.

Race 4  Interesting maiden I thought.Rawiller gets the leg up on Angola and he's the man to get the best out of this horse.He's copped bit of flack of late for some of his rides (Richard Callender was particularly vocal on a couple of occasions) but there is no jockey riding better in Victoria and I rate him very highly.He's improved enormously over the last few months and I always see him as a positive for any horse, particularly so in races over 1600m plus.This horse needs to settle a little better and expect Rawiller to have him covered up nicely on the fence a little better than midfield.He's a tricky ride but if Rawiller can get him relaxed he could improve a fair bit on his last effort.
Vine was very good from the rear last time in a decent midweek race at Sandown.Nicholas Hall rides and here we have the opposite of Rawiller.This is a rider who whilst possessing ability loses many races with extreme waiting tactics.I'm wary of backing horses ridden by Hall and would need to see things happening a little differently in the way he approaches things for me to change my mind.Vine will get back and attempt to round them up late.He looks the horse with the most potential here but may need further now.No early markets here so no bet advised but a race I'm interested in pending the shape of the market.

Race 7  I think there is more to come from Sound Of The Ocean.Both his efforts this prep have been good albeit in -58 grade.The step up to -62 grade here will put off a lot of people but not me.Time may tell he was really up against it last time trying to give 5kg's to Onya Keithy who bolted up again at Camperdown on Saturday.He was wide throughout that day as well.The step up 1400m is very much a positive as is the nice gate (4)-he can race handy.He's a half brother to Hay List and whilst he's unlikely to rival his sibling in ability he's going along the right way.My figures have him at 4.50 here and 7.00 is available now which makes plenty of appeal to me.


Advised Bets

Ballarat   Race 7    Sound Of The Ocean  1.10 units to win @ 4.80 or better (take the 7.00 on offer now)

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