Villiers Day

Villiers day at Warwick Farm and expect the track to ride fast.

Race 6   Suspect Cabernet may just have benefitted from the run in the Festival Stakes a fortnight ago.She didn't have the clearest of passages there either so all in all it was a very satisfactory trial for today.Plenty of hopes here but happy to be with this mare today.8.0 is still available I have her at 6.50

Race 7  Thought Disciple ran very well last time after being wide in the run.Kept coming there and confirmed the strong impression from his first run back that he is an improved horse this prep.Good gate today can see him settle fairly handy and the extra trip is a real plus.4.20 available and I have him a rock solid 3.50 chance


Flemington is posted a Dead 4 but will upgrade to a Good 3.

Race 5   Valrouz battled on well last time in a race where there was plenty of pressure up front.Gets a nice run on the speed here and doubt the step up to 1400m is a negative.He'll have first run on Quicksilver Lass and Perfectly Stunning.Benenden is a hope but this is tougher than last time when everything went perfectly.Valrouz is available at 7.0 and my rating here is 5.0.

Race 8  Al Aneed struck me as a Carnival horse earlier in the Spring.He refused to settle in the Carbine Club and again in the Sandown Guineas so his effort to finish fifth in the latter was all in all very creditable.I like the 5 week freshen up and reverting to a sprint trip.No need to fight him here just let him run.The juicy odds have gone now but 7.0 is still available and that is still too big.I have him at 5.50.

Advised Bets

Warwick Farm     Race 6   Cabernet  0.75 units to win at 7.0 or better (take the 8.0 available now)

                             Race 7   Disciple   1.45 units to win at 3.70 or better (take the 4.20 available now)

Flemington          Race 5   Valrouz     1 unit to win at 5.50 or better (take the 7.0 available now)

                            Race  8   Al Aneed  0.90 units to win at 6.0 or better ( take the 7.0 available now)