Monday 31 December 2012

Flemington & Rosehill on New Years Day

Happy New Year!

Flemington is posted a Dead 4 but will upgrade and expect fast ground.Good card but I cannot find any value for you there today looking at the early markets.

Rosehill is a Good 3 and dry conditions so again expect good fast Summer racing ground.


Race 6  Darci Be Good ran very well in the Villiers.He was wide without cover but battled on in solid style to hang on to third.Highly Recommended ran on soundly for sixth in that race and the extra trip probably helps him today.The early markets have him favourite but I think Darci ought to be.Monton is a likeable horse but 2000m is new territory for him and far from certain to suit.I'm over Moriarty and happy to oppose him.I've got Darci Be good favourite on my figures at 3.6 so happy to play here with 4.80 currently on offer.

Race 8  Lot's of non runners here.City Of Light is favourite in early markets at 2.70 which is too short to me.I marginally prefer both Carmine King and Inventive in that order.The runner that looks big overs is Muchacho.He's won 6 from 11 admittedly most lately on the Acton track in Canberra but with Lester Grace's claim he only has 52.5 kg's.He's available at 17.0 in one place and 14.0 generally.My figures have him at 8.0 so happy to speculate at odds here.


Advised Bets

Rosehill  Race 6    Darci Be Good   1.40 units to win @ 3.80 or better. (take the 4.80 available            generally now)

Rosehill  Race 8    Muchacho   0.65 units to win @ 9.0 or better ( take the 14.0 generally available now )

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