Thursday 6 December 2012

Moonee Valley & Canterbury Tonight

Double header of evening racing so plenty of action.At this time of the year we're high on quantity and sadly lacking in quality.
It's been a tough week and I've made a couple of poor decisions in leaving a couple of winners that I really should have backed.Let's see if things can be evened up a little this evening.

Moonee Valley 
Posted as a Dead 4 but expect a Good 3 sooner rather than later.

Race 6  Vizhaka is a horse on the up.Races handy from a good gate.Odds may look cramped but I rate him 1.90.

Race 8  Most Husbands is better than these.He's already been backed but you don't need to have much on to rattle the early markets on Friday nights.He's resuming so we're guessing a little as to fitness.I have him at 5.0 so the 7.0 that is still available is still ok


Canterbury

Expect good fast racing ground .

Race 5   Reunite looks the one here down in the weights from a good gate.Runs off a rating of 61 which looks too lenient.I rate him a 3.30 chance and 4.20 is available

Race 6   Caprossa appeals as the value here.Still improving this one and tracks the speed and gets the last crack at them here.I have her at 4.80 but 6.50 is currently available


Advised Bets

M.V  Race 6        Vizhaka  2.50 units to win @ 2.10 or better

          Race 8        Most Husbands   1 unit to win @ 5.0 or better (take the 7.0)

Cant   Race 5       Reunite   1.55 units to win @3.50 or better (take the 4.20)

           Race 6      Caprossa   1.05 units to win @ 5.0 or better (take the 6.50)

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