Flemington posted a Dead 4 and with thundery showers around it's difficult to gauge what we are likely to be dealing with as the day progresses.Uncertainty about track conditions complicate what is a very difficult card.Nothing stands out value wise here looking at early markets.
Rosehill is a Good 3 and with dry conditions it will be fast ground.Again it's a difficult card and value is hard to find so it's going to be just one advised bet only today.
Race 6 Cantonese is a war horse and is hard to beat here.I thought he'd drop away last week after such tough run but he kept fighting on and was only beaten less than a length.He either leads or tracks Fiumicino here.He has Cassidy on board and I think he is the perfect jockey for this horse.He's had a hard tough campaign and there is a chance that he's had enough but he's clearly still the one to beat here.I rate him 3.0 and 3.50 is available.They may bet better so I am having 50% at 3.50 and shopping around on Betfair with the other 50%.
Advised bets
Rosehill Race 6 Cantonese 1.65 units to win @ 3.20 or better (take 50% @ the 3.50 available now and shop around with the other 50%)
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