Friday 26 October 2012

Cox Plate Day

Fantastic Cox Plate in prospect at Moonee Valley today.Very competitive and a good clash between the generations.Three 3-y-o's line up and all have live hopes.Pierro clearly has the strongest form of the three but the 2040m trip has to be a big query.All To Hard had all the favours when running down Pierro last time but perhaps he's the more likely of the two to run out a strong 2040m.He'll need a lot of luck from the back of the field though.Proisir is the least exposed of the three and the one with the most scope to improve but he has a tricky barrier and will need to begin well to find a good position.
Green Moon is too short at 5.00 I think.He was a quality handicapper in England and whilst he may have improved I doubt he has the class required to win a Cox Plate.More Joyous is likely to be found wanting in a high pressure race at 2040m unless there is no pressure early.Shoot Out is hope and overs at 18.0-He's a GI winner this prep,gets the trip well and maps well from gate 4.I have him at 11.0The horse I keep coming back to is Ocean Park.He's lightly raced and still has more to offer,gets the trip and is a proven G1 horse.He the one I'm sure that will finish around the money.Best price on offer this morning is 6.50.I have him at 5.0.Really strong competitive race this year.
Value runners both to be ridden by world class jockeys are:-

Ocean Park at 6.50 and Shoot Out at 18.0

Rangirangdoo has the best credentials in the G2 Mile event (race 7).I'd be very confident of him putting this field away were it not for the presence of the Kiwi mare Silent Achiever.She may need another run to peak but she is a really high class mare.If she's fully wound up I doubt there is much between them.I'm going to monitor the betting here before making any decisions.

In race 2 the Paul Perry trained I Get Around has been very well backed.Perry has a very good record when raiding Melbourne Spring races and this horse is very progressive.He is first up here but if he's to win has to improve around  5kg on what he achieved to date.I'd rather have the consistent and admirable Obsidian Dragon at a top priced 7.0 (was 8.50 earlier) who was strong winner last time and is proven round Moonee Valley.I rate her a 5.0 chance

No comments:

Post a Comment