Tuesday 25 March 2014

Mornington & Kensington Today

Mornington is a Good 3 and it's dry at the moment.There are late showers forecast but they may not arrive until the end of the day/early evening so provided they stay away expect fast conditions.
The Kenso track is a Dead 5 and there is currently rain around Randwick so where that one ends up is uncertain-keep monitoring.
There are definite possibilities today on both sides of the book.The early market inbalances are corrected within a very short time frame now with very little money actually being layed so getting on early is proving more and more difficult.It's hard to $100 on at anything over 5.0 so there really is little point in showing your hand early.
Anything I'm doing and any updates will be sent via Twitter throughout the afternoon.  

With the future of Betfair in Australia uncertain and the UK corparates operating here with the same business model as they use to shaft everybody over there it looks like a strong national tote with rebates will be the only hope to keep the markets strong and give anyone a hope of getting an earn out of the punt.

By the way Betfair froze withdrawals over the weekend citing problems with their banks This is probably a glitch but having been skinned before (not by them of course they are usually excellent payers -quick and accurate) I've taken the precaution of bringing my account down to the barest minimum I can operate with.When I've withdrawn before the funds are always there the following day if I request them before 10am.If I don't have the funds tomorrow as per usual I'll be letting everyone know and asking some serious questions.Doubt there is a real problem but confidence in Betfair management has eroded slowly over the last 3/4 years and it's one shambles after another so nothing would totally surprise.Unfortunately you get very wordly wise as you older. 

Dubai has it's World Cup on Saturday evening/Sunday morning and it looks a better proposition this year than it has the last couple of years.
Doncaster kicks off the UK flat season on Saturday and the main races there are good.The usual Easter fixture at Kempton  these days on the all weather has been brought forward to Saturday this year probably because Easter is so late this year.Saturday is going to be a busy day but I'll probably concentrate on the Dubai racing as there looks to be real opportunities there.

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