Friday 10 October 2014

Guineas Day At Caulfield & Spring Champion At Randwick

Guineas day at Caulfield with four G1's the Caulfield Guineas, 1000 Guineas, Toorak Handicap and the Caulfield Stakes. All four are terrific races with good competitive fields. The track is posted as a Good 3 and it's dry.
Spring Champion Stakes at Randwick and a decent competitive card to complement the feature. It's posted a Good 3 at Randwick and he weather is dry.
Any Randwick bets will be sent via Twitter during racing.Just need a couple of the markets there to hopefully open up a bit before committing to anything there.

Caulfield

Race 6
With Caulfield Cup and Cox Plate looming as the target for some they may just be a tad short of their optimum this afternoon.Dissident is a risk at this trip and I'd want to see him win at this trip before siding with him. I'll take a chance at odds with the likely leader Crackerjack King. His effort when a close third behind Foreteller and Happy Trails was excellent and he'll be fitter and the extra 200m suits. He's around 16.0 this morning and I have rated at 12.0 here so there's enough value to be interested here.

Advised Bet: Cracerjack King 0.40 units at 13.0 or better-monitor on Betfair or TAB have a max $50 refund if you finish 2nd or 3rd so you may want to consider going there for your first $50

Race 7
Very open Toorak as usual but Bull Point is this one that interests me most. I've somehow missed getting on the Trust In A Gust bandwagon this Spring so with him up another 8 points for the last win I'm not jumping on now-definitely a very live chance though. Bull Point is just coming to the boil now though and from a good gate and with a master jockey he's the top pick

Advised Bet: Bull Point 0.90 units at 5.70 or better-doubt you'll get much better than the current top 6.50 but monitor closely.TAB have the same max $50 refund if your placed.

Race 8
Go Indy Go clearly on top for me although no good thing obviously as there are a few hopes. Terrific late splits last time coming from the rear in a slow run race and surely she beats those that ran against her there. The extra trip is all in her favour and she will go very,very close here.

Advised Bet: Go Indy Go 1.40 units at 3.70 or better-keep monitoring but doubt it starts bigger than the current top quote of 4.80. That's with Sportsbet and you get your first $100 back with them if you don't win but place 2nd or 3rd

Race 8
Rich Enuff a strong favourite and if he can run out the 1600m then he'll be hard to beat. He's a risk at the trip though so his 2.25 quote makes little appeal. The main opposition is Looks Like The Cat, Shooting To Win and Almalad in that order and none of these would surprise. I'm right on the margin of betting or passing this race but at around 7.50 Looks Like The Cat just gets me involved.

Advised Bet: Looks Like The Cat 0.70 units at 7.20 or better-monitor betting and note Sportsbet have the same $100 max refund here if you are 2nd or 3rd

Race 10
I can only realistically see two possibly winners here although it is a mares race so I've done my figures tighter so I'm sure there value before I play. Girl Guide has been excellent and she will be handy from a nice gate but Shamal Wind should have beaten her last time and she is the best horse here by a margin (concede Girl Guide is improving and was wide last time). I have Shamal 2.10 and GG at 3.60 so happy to play Shamal at around 2.50

Advised Bet: Shamal Wind 2.35 units at 2.20 or better. Plenty of 2.50 around so monitor on Betfair for a bit better. A saver on the other one or a saver exacta is an idea with some merit in it

Further Bets/Updates sent during racing. Terrific day hope you enjoy it

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