Sunday 5 October 2014

'Arc' Day In Paris

Longchamp must have received some of the rain that fell around Paris overnight but looking at the weather details it was probably no more than 3mm max. so expect genuine Good ground at least.

Race 1
Sole Power would be a risk on anything softer than Good but the weather gods have been kind to him and he's clearly the horse to beat. It's up to Richard Hughes to steer a clear passage for him but as long as he get's the break he should win. Don't expect fancy odds as the Paris Turfistes have learned not to be parochial in this race as it fall's to the home team only very occasionally. Trust Hughes to weave a way through and take the 3.50

Advised Bet: Sole Power 1.65 units at 3.20 or better-take the 3.50 on offer now

Race 5
A very open looking 'Arc' and the betting reflects that. I'm opposing Just A Way and Avenir Certain as both have to be doubts at the trip. Ectot looked very good winning last time and he'll be that little bit fitter today so is not easily dismissed. He'll need to find another couple of lengths though to win and he's well found at the top of the market. I'll look to the fillies and will build a strategy around Taghrooda , Harp Star, Treve and Dolniya.

Advised Bets:  Taghrooda 0.70 units at 7.50 or better
                         Harp Star  0.65 units at  8.0 or better
                         Treve        0.40 units at 12.0 or better
                         Dolniya     0.30 units at 19.0 or better
                         Monitor on Betfair with all of these and you should do much better than the bookies


Further Bets/Updates sent via Twitter during racing  

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