Day one of the two day Newmarket Craven meeting and a really interesting afternoon in prospect.
This can be a tricky meeting to navigate successfully punting wise and generally I don't have many bets there preferring to watch and learn.A handful of horses I'm interested in however today and one definite bet, maybe more later.
The weather at Newmarket is fine and dry and the going is Good-Good to Firm in places.Expect decent racing ground.
Classic trials with the Nell Gwyn for the fillies at G3 level and the Listed Fielden Stakes and the Free Handicap.The Free Handicap used to a very interesting and lively betting race when I first began following racing but it's stature has gradually waned and it's now worth around the same as a midweek Sydney maiden ($40,000).
Newmarket
Race 6
True Story is favourite here around 3.0.He won his maiden in good style but he looks very short on what he's actually achieved so far. Irish raider Obliterator also won his maiden at The Curragh in good style but 6.0 is short too.The two with easily the best form on the board are Barley Mow and Somewhat.Barley Mow was turned over at odds on at Lingfield on the all weather a few days ago-there were some excuses but I'm happy to bypass him today.Somewhat is a horse I really like and expect to prove to be a very decent horse this year.His trainers record in this race is excellent with four winners in the last 10 years and he should be favourite here.I have him 3.70 but there is plenty of 5.0 around.
Advised Bet: Somewhat 1.35 units at 4.0 or better.Take the 5.0 available now for 50% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance.
Any further bets and updates sent via Twitter throughout the afternoon
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