Thursday 13 July 2017

Newmarket July Festival - Day 1

Day one of the July meeting and the going is posted as Good. Dry day with highs in the low 20's expected so I expect the ground to play more towards Good to Firm as the day progresses.

Race 1
Quite a few of these like to races prominently so it should be true test. Atty Pearse was given a fine ride by his claiming rider to win at Royal Ascot. He jumps out of handicap grade to G3 level here but he's very progressive and very much the one to beat here. Raheen House has the best official figures and this trip will suit him as will the expected tempo. He's something of a nearly horse though and I expect Atty Pearce to progress past him here today. Crowned Eagle was outclassed in the Derby but looked good winning a handicap and beating a decent horse before that. He's a hope if he can get the trip.
Suggested Bet 1.55 units Atty Pearse at 3.30 or better. Around 3.9 on Betfair and 3.75 with Bet 365 with the SP guarantee 

Race 2
Group 2 over 6 furlongs for two year olds. Rajasingh won the Coventry at Royal Ascot so is top on all rating but the principals were very bunched there at it may turn out to be a sub standard renewal.
I rarely bet in two year old races and this one looks very tricky.

Race 4
Poet's Word is a non runner and he was my choice here. Frontiersman is clearly the one to beat now but he's a bit short at evens so passing here.

The handicaps and the last race a Listed contest are all good races but difficult to unravel. 


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