Friday 14 July 2017

Caulfield Today

Good 4 and a bright cool morning at Caulfield. Dry day forecast with wind not a factor.

Race 1

Data Point has obvious claims but is no value at all so I'm opposing. The big overs here is Emoji who gets a big weight swing with Orient Line who beat him last time. Emoji had a horrow passage that day at 21.0 with Bet365 is way over my figures.

Suggested Bet: Emoji  0.75units at 8.0 or better. take the 21.0 with Bet 365

Race 6

Stockdale takes a handy 3kg's of the back of Revolving Door and hopefully he can get over to track likely leader Toorak Cowboy without burning to much juice. He traveled like the best horse at the weights last time and was only nutted late. I have him a 3.50 shot here so 4.40 looks appealing.

Suggested Bet: Revolving Door 1.45 units at 3.70 or better. Have half the stake at 4.40 with Bet 365 with the SP guarantee and average out the balance on Betfair.

Race 7
Supido is into the red now and I'm not really tempted to play at 1.75. The only other runner I have in single figures here is Lord Of The Sky who is returning from a tendon injury. If Supido gets back to around evens then I'll probably play but no bet advised as it stands.

Race 8
Sullivan Bay should cross and lead here and will be hard to pass. Divine Chills is the other main hope and I'm sure she'll go well but she seems best on a slow surface. If were a slow 5 I would have them closer and a slow 6 she would be marginally on top.

Suggested Bet: Sullivan Bay 1.65 units @ 3.20 or better. Take the 4.20 with Bet 365 with SP guarantee for half the stake  and average the rest on Betfair. Divine Chills  0.75 units shop for best odds on Betfair.

Race 9
Schism is in great form and is a live hope but far too short on my figures. Airalign gets a good run up front or just behind the speed here and makes plenty of appeal.

Suggested Bet: Airalign 0.90 units @ 6.0 or better. Take the 10.0 with Bet 365 with the SP guarantee  for half the stake and average out the rest on Betfair.

Full program tonight in the UK including the G1 July Cup and the mighty Carravagio takes on the older horses for the first time. Hopefully I'll get time to preview a few races around 7pm

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