Bendigo is a Dead 4 and there are showers around there now and more due. You'll have to monitor conditions there as Sam Hyland reported the surface as worn and patchy this morning.
Canterbury is a Good 3 and it's dry so fast conditions there.
Canterbury
Race 6
Pythagorean draws awkwardly but the ones I have going forward here are in wide gates so hopefully he can follow them across and find an OK position. On his UK form he's got lengths on these although there are a couple of negatives to bear in mind. On a positive note his Aussie debut was good on wet ground (fast ground suits better) and he looked a live hope at the 300m before lack of condition told late. He's run really well in high class UK handicaps at big meetings and a NMW midweeker should be a walk in the park. The negatives are the awkward draw as already mentioned, the fact he was something of a "bookies horse " (perennialy unlucky) and he never went beyond 1400m in the UK (bred to get this trip and further). The other Waller import Campanology also has very solid UK and Irish form for a race like this and I be inclined to follow any market support for him here too. No sign of any money for him at this stage.
Advised Bet: Pythagorean 1.30 units at 4.0 or better-take the 5.50 with Tatts for 50% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance.
Bendigo
Race 6
The two coming from maiden grade Fluorescent and The Golden Pig both have more to offer which is not the case with the rest of this field. I've already advised The Golden Pig via Twitter at 13.0 which is overs although he's not entirely certain to get 2400m. I'm happy at this stage with that bet and with the chance that conditions may be wet by now will rest there are this stage.The 13.0 is still there so I'll list this as a bet in the blog.
Advised Bet: The Golden Pig 0.55 units at 10.0 or better-take the 13.0 with Bet 365 with the SP and Tote guarantees.
Races 7 and 8 are interesting but track conditions are crucial to anything I want to do there so I'll advise via Twitter
As usual Bets/Updates sent via Twitter during racing
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