Wednesday 5 November 2014

Flemington Carnival Day Three- Oaks Day

Some ultra competitive races today as you'd expect. Races 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, and 9 are all tricky puzzles to solve although some value at odds may show up as we get into the day.

Race 4
Beauty's Beast was a very weak favourite when running like an unfit horse at Caulfield last time. Expect him to be spot on today at his home track and be very hard to beat.

Advised Bet: Beauty's Beast 1.40 units at 3.75 or better- take the 4.00 with Bet 365 for 35% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance

Race 7
After Saturday when the inside looked a no go zone (Tuesday it looked to have evened out) you'd want to see what effect the watering has had before ploughing in early. Providing there looks to be no bias I think Angel's Beach will be very hard to roll. I'm not committed yet but I have her around 2.60 assuming it's a level playing surface.

Race 8  Oaks
Go Indy Go has the best figures and she will love the trip. She's the most likely winner for me and I've already backed her. There is still good value in her current price though. I have her rated at 3.00 and 4.80 is still available and she may trade a tad higher as markets open up.

Advised Bet: Go Indy Go 1.65 units at 3.20 or better - take the 4.80 with Bet 365 (SP Guarantee) for 50% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance

I missed getting Grand Marshal out in the tweet on Tuesday due to being distracted for 5 mins and being so busy. The price crashed pretty quickly having been around 5.50 on Betfair all morning.

Any further Bets/Updates sent via twitter

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