Wednesday 1 May 2013

Ascot ,Pontefract and Kempton on Wednesday

With dry conditions looking likely at all three flat venues today it should be Good and drying at Ascot,likely all round Good to Firm at Pontefract and the obvious Standard at Kempton.
Plenty of interesting horses and races today but only one race that I can commit to betting on at this stage

Ascot
Race 6   4.45

Competitive twenty runner handicap to end the card.Favourite at around 4.0 is the Luca Cumani trained Rockalong who is progressive and an obvious live hope here.The other very progressive runner Twenty One Choice makes slightly more appeal to me and I think he actually should be favourite.His Kempton win four weeks ago was very strong and he continued there the progress that saw him win his last 3 races last season.From gate one he can be handy to what may be a modest pace so I envisage him being well positioned in the run here.He saw the mile out very strongly last year at Musselburgh and I expect going forward that the mile will prove his best trip.This good looking son of Choisir has plenty of scope to go on improving a fair bit yet.
Plenty of others with a squeak including Karaka Jack,Forest Row and Toga Tiger but with around 8.0 available in one place and 7.0 easy to get elsewhere I think Twenty One Choice is overs here.My ratings have him at 5.50

Advised bet        Ascot     Race 6  4.45pm    Twenty One Choice 0.90 units to win
                                                                       (take the 8.00 for 50% of stake and monitor the rest

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