It's dry in Melbourne and the forecast for Cup day is sunny and warm.Flemington is currently a Dead 4 and overnight watering will keep it that way but it'll be good fast racing ground once things get under way you'd think.
Here are my rated prices for the race
Fiorente 7.0
Sea Moon 12.0
Fawkner 12.0
Mount Athos 12.0
Brown Panther 15.0
Verena 15.0
Seville 17.0
Simenon 21.0
Dandino 26.0
Royal Empire 26.0
Vole.De C. 26.0
Hawkspur 29.0
Super Cool 34.0
Green Moon 34.0
Dear Demi 34.0
Dunaden 41.0
Tres Blue 41.0
Foreteller 67.0
Ruscello 67.0
Masked Marvel 67.0
Mourayan 67.0
Red Cadeaux 101.0
Ethiopia 151.0
Ibecenco 151.0
Fiorente is fully entitled to be favourite with excellent lead up form,and a good gate.Before I got right into the analysis I'd thought I'd have him shorter than the 7.0 that I've finally settled on.I think it's a tough race this year to bet into with any great confidence.The two that are on offer at a decent margin to my figures are Fawkner and Brown Panther although at this stage I haven't backed anything.
I'll make a decision tomorrow betting wise and will have a look at the other races in tomorrow's blog
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