Desperately disappointing month with UK bets after having a very sound Summer.After months of dry weather the rains arrived at the start of the month and it's been a losing battle all month since.As bad as the UK has been the Aussie bets have been in great form so there is actually a profit on the month but I'm furious with myself for not holding fire in those first two weeks when the big wet came.Here's the breakdown for September
UK
Blog Bets advised in 12 races -No winners (4 seconds!)
Stakes 17.0
Returns Nil
Loss 17.0 units
Tweets Bets advised in 12 races-2 winners (2 seconds!)
Stakes 12.70
Returns 11.13
Loss 1.57 units
Total for UK LOSS 18.57 units
Australia
Blog Bets advised in 12 races -4 winners
Stakes 15.60
Returns 29.75
Profit 14.15 units
Tweets Bets advised in 17 races -6 winners
Stakes 24.00
Returns 35.49
Profit 11.49 units
Total for Australia PROFIT 25.64 units
Overall total for the month PROFIT 7.07 units
I'm only covering the really good UK and International racing now as we move into October and my goal is to try to retrieve as much of the 18.57 unit loss from last month as possible-there are still some big days to come so no reason to be anything but hopeful.
The main focus will be Australia though and I'll be putting out a blog most days during the Spring.Last year the Spring was an absolute bonanza so if I can repeat that I'll be very pleased indeed.
At Kilmore today the track is Heavy 8 after persistent rain this morning and it's still showery there now.Lots of scratchings as a result.I'm out this morning but will be back for racing.There is a chance of a bet but I need to see how the tracks playing and early markets are nonsense with scratchings.If there is anything I'll send via Twitter at least 10/15 mins. before jump time.
Back tomorrow
Monday, 30 September 2013
Monday's Post
I'm scaling back on the UK side of things as the flat season there begins to wind down.I'll still be very active over the next few weeks when the better racing is on but I'm not involving myself in the bread and butter stuff earlier in the week.I will, however, be ramping things up on the Australian racing and that will mean around 5/6 posts a week covering the Victorian and Sydney meetings.
I'll do a round up of September's results tomorrow and highlight anything that stands out at Kilmore.
I'll do a round up of September's results tomorrow and highlight anything that stands out at Kilmore.
Saturday, 28 September 2013
Caulfield & Warwick Farm Today
Very stretched for time and still finalising bets.There will be bets but only time to send via Twitter today-will send 10/15 mins before jump time
Newmarket Cambridgeshire Meeting-Day Three
Four UK turf flat meetings today.Newmarket is Good to Firm,Ripon and Chester are Good and Haydock is Good with Good to Firm patches.Dry and mild day so conditions will get only quicker at all venues.
Newmarket
Race 1
Somewhat should be favourite here.2.75 is too big.I have him at 2.30
Advised Bet: Somewhat 2.20 units at 2.40 or better-take 2.75 now it will go
Haydock
Race 3
Very competitive sprint but Lady Gibralter ran really well last time with the visor refitted.Tracks a hot speed and worth an interest at anything over 10.0.I have her rated at 9.0
Advised Bet: Lady Gibralter 0.55 units at 10.0 or better-monitor on Betfair
Chester
Race 3
The price has gone early on Zain Eagle who I have backed at 3.75 and is now into my rated price of 3.0.No point in backing at the rated price but the info's there in case it moves out to a backable price.Win or lose this won't be listed in the audited bets
Chance of more today and if there is it will go via Twitter
Newmarket
Race 1
Somewhat should be favourite here.2.75 is too big.I have him at 2.30
Advised Bet: Somewhat 2.20 units at 2.40 or better-take 2.75 now it will go
Haydock
Race 3
Very competitive sprint but Lady Gibralter ran really well last time with the visor refitted.Tracks a hot speed and worth an interest at anything over 10.0.I have her rated at 9.0
Advised Bet: Lady Gibralter 0.55 units at 10.0 or better-monitor on Betfair
Chester
Race 3
The price has gone early on Zain Eagle who I have backed at 3.75 and is now into my rated price of 3.0.No point in backing at the rated price but the info's there in case it moves out to a backable price.Win or lose this won't be listed in the audited bets
Chance of more today and if there is it will go via Twitter
Friday, 27 September 2013
Mornington & Rosehill Today
Bit late with the blog today due to been a bit unwell due to a bad reaction to new medication.Never,ever have anything to do with the medical profession unless you absolutely have no choice in the matter.
Rosehill is Good 3 and very windy and that wind is working against front runners as there copping it full on.Makes things a bit difficult there as no one will want to lead and race patterns and speed maps are looking very suss.Anything there will be sent via Twitter.
Mornington is a Heavy 8 and it's windy there too but it's not a factor in the way it is at Rosehill.Still showers around that may hit or may not.May get to a slow 7.
Missed the boat a bit today but still playing
Mornington
Race 7
Secret Toy Bizness was 10.0 now 6.0 against my rating of 5.0
Advised Bet: Secret Toy Bizness 1 unit at 5.50 or better-take the 6.0
Race 8
Fav. here Complicate is a classy type but is far too short.Run Diego is overs getting a good run here and the 3kg claim is very handy
Advised Bet: Run Diego 0.85 units at 6.50 or better-take the 8.0 on offer for 50% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance
Rosehill is Good 3 and very windy and that wind is working against front runners as there copping it full on.Makes things a bit difficult there as no one will want to lead and race patterns and speed maps are looking very suss.Anything there will be sent via Twitter.
Mornington is a Heavy 8 and it's windy there too but it's not a factor in the way it is at Rosehill.Still showers around that may hit or may not.May get to a slow 7.
Missed the boat a bit today but still playing
Mornington
Race 7
Secret Toy Bizness was 10.0 now 6.0 against my rating of 5.0
Advised Bet: Secret Toy Bizness 1 unit at 5.50 or better-take the 6.0
Race 8
Fav. here Complicate is a classy type but is far too short.Run Diego is overs getting a good run here and the 3kg claim is very handy
Advised Bet: Run Diego 0.85 units at 6.50 or better-take the 8.0 on offer for 50% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance
Newmarket Cambridgeshire Meeting-Day Two
Newmarket and Haydock today.Newmarket is Good to Firm and Haydock is Good.A dry day forecast so conditions at both courses will only get quicker.
Excellent at Newmarket and OK at Haydock.I haven't committed to anything at this stage but there are possibilities if markets move favourably.If I'm backing anything I'll send details via Twitter.
Excellent at Newmarket and OK at Haydock.I haven't committed to anything at this stage but there are possibilities if markets move favourably.If I'm backing anything I'll send details via Twitter.
Moonee Valley This Evening
G1 Moir Stakes the highlight at Moonee Valley this evening.Track has upgraded to a Dead 4 but there is a forecast for later showers possibly thundery although the radar is clear at the moment.As always at this track the pattern can be critical so there is little to be gained from going off early unless there is compelling value on offer
There at possibilities this evening but I need just a bit more than is offer at the moment in early markets.Any bets (likely) will be sent through via Twitter.
I'll cover the UK racing in a later blog.
There at possibilities this evening but I need just a bit more than is offer at the moment in early markets.Any bets (likely) will be sent through via Twitter.
I'll cover the UK racing in a later blog.
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