Four UK flat meetings today which is far more manageable than the six we've been getting through the summer months.Beverley and Sandown are Good to Firm.Chester is Good and Bath is Firm.Drying conditions everywhere today.
Beverley
Race 4
London Citizen makes plenty of appeal getting weight from all and with bonus of his rider's claim.He's top priced around 7.50 this morning but I have him at 5.0 here.
Advised Bet: London Citizen 1 unit at 5.50 or better-take the 7.50 on offer now
Sandown
Race 4
Sennockian Star just keeps improving.A lot of these have peaked or are becoming a bit suss.I don't think this is quite as competitive as it appears at first glance and I think Sennockian is value at the 7.0 on offer against my rating of 5.0
Advised Bet: Sennockian Star 1 unit at 5.50 or better-take the 7.0 for 50% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance.
There are two or three more of interest today and hopefully markets will open to make them backable.If they do and I'm playing I send details via Twitter
Saturday, 31 August 2013
Friday, 30 August 2013
Memsie Stakes Day at Caulfield & Rosehill
G 1 action returns to Australian racing today with the Memsie Stakes at Caulfield.Some of Australia's best horses on show today but as last week plenty are kicking off their Spring campaigns and fitness and distance are issues for many.
Caulfield is posted a Dead 5 down from a Dead 4 yesterday but it's fine and should get back to the Dead 4 I would think.Rosehill is a Good 3 and drying.
At this stage there is nothing early at Rosehill but there are a couple of possibilities there and I'll send them by Twitter if I decide to play.
Caulfield is tough and I'm not interested in playing at short quotes so the bets are value but generally a bit speculative.
Caulfield
Race 2
Serene Star is very well suited at the weights here.She has some promising types against here and in truth her form has plateaued.Still there going to have to improve a fair few spots to overcome her and her last run was very good when she was in front far too soon.I have her at 7.0 here and 11.0 is available with Bet 365 and she's 13.0 for small money on Betfair
Advised Bet: Serene Star 0.70 units at 8.0 or better-monitor on Betfair
Race 3
Oriental Ruby ran very well resuming.She was steadily progressive last year.She does get back from her widish gate but there looks to be a fair pace here so I'm hoping she can run on.The claim for young Maloney is the big plus here-he's riding in hot form at the moment4.80 is the best quote and currently 5.20 on Betfair against my rating of 4.20
Advised Bet: Oriental Ruby 1.20 units at 4.40 or better-monitor on Betfair
Race 5
Strawberry Boy heads the market at 2.30.I think that's a bit thin although I'll concede he's still not fully exposed.Under The Eiffel is around 15 spots better of with him (I'm including Maloneys claim) for being beaten less that 2 lengths when they met in May.I'd rather be with him at 14.0 against my rating of 9.0
Advised Bet: Under The Eiffel 0.55 units at 10.0 or better-take the 14.0 for 50% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance.
Race 7
Pakal was impressive winning on his Australian debut.I'm not entirely convinced about that race though and he loses the 3kg claim here and rises 6 spots so effectively he's up 12.Many of these need further.Two I like are Peligrano who's versatile across a range of trips,progressive and was a real eyecatcher resuming and my old mate The Cleaner who was given a very forgettable ride last time.
I rate these two 5.50 and 8.0 respectively against 6.50 and 11.0 (in places)
Advised Bets: Peligrano 0.90 at 5.80 or better-take the 6.50 for 50% amd monitor on Betfair with the balance
The Cleaner 0.60 units at 8.50 or better-monitor on Betfair
Caulfield is posted a Dead 5 down from a Dead 4 yesterday but it's fine and should get back to the Dead 4 I would think.Rosehill is a Good 3 and drying.
At this stage there is nothing early at Rosehill but there are a couple of possibilities there and I'll send them by Twitter if I decide to play.
Caulfield is tough and I'm not interested in playing at short quotes so the bets are value but generally a bit speculative.
Caulfield
Race 2
Serene Star is very well suited at the weights here.She has some promising types against here and in truth her form has plateaued.Still there going to have to improve a fair few spots to overcome her and her last run was very good when she was in front far too soon.I have her at 7.0 here and 11.0 is available with Bet 365 and she's 13.0 for small money on Betfair
Advised Bet: Serene Star 0.70 units at 8.0 or better-monitor on Betfair
Race 3
Oriental Ruby ran very well resuming.She was steadily progressive last year.She does get back from her widish gate but there looks to be a fair pace here so I'm hoping she can run on.The claim for young Maloney is the big plus here-he's riding in hot form at the moment4.80 is the best quote and currently 5.20 on Betfair against my rating of 4.20
Advised Bet: Oriental Ruby 1.20 units at 4.40 or better-monitor on Betfair
Race 5
Strawberry Boy heads the market at 2.30.I think that's a bit thin although I'll concede he's still not fully exposed.Under The Eiffel is around 15 spots better of with him (I'm including Maloneys claim) for being beaten less that 2 lengths when they met in May.I'd rather be with him at 14.0 against my rating of 9.0
Advised Bet: Under The Eiffel 0.55 units at 10.0 or better-take the 14.0 for 50% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance.
Race 7
Pakal was impressive winning on his Australian debut.I'm not entirely convinced about that race though and he loses the 3kg claim here and rises 6 spots so effectively he's up 12.Many of these need further.Two I like are Peligrano who's versatile across a range of trips,progressive and was a real eyecatcher resuming and my old mate The Cleaner who was given a very forgettable ride last time.
I rate these two 5.50 and 8.0 respectively against 6.50 and 11.0 (in places)
Advised Bets: Peligrano 0.90 at 5.80 or better-take the 6.50 for 50% amd monitor on Betfair with the balance
The Cleaner 0.60 units at 8.50 or better-monitor on Betfair
Friday's UK Racing
Five UK flat meetings today.The three afternoon meetings Chester,Sandown and Thirsk all post Good but Sandown and Thirsk will almost certainly be Good to Firm as the day progresses.Southwell All Weather and Salisbury (Good to Firm) this evening.Warm and dry everywhere today.
Three or four of interest today but only if markets open up a bit.I cannot commit to anything as early markets are framed so if there are any bets I'll send them through via Twitter 10 to 15 minutes before post time.
Lots of very good horses going round in Australia tomorrow and back then with a look at Caulfield and Rosehill
Three or four of interest today but only if markets open up a bit.I cannot commit to anything as early markets are framed so if there are any bets I'll send them through via Twitter 10 to 15 minutes before post time.
Lots of very good horses going round in Australia tomorrow and back then with a look at Caulfield and Rosehill
Wednesday, 28 August 2013
Wednesday's UK Racing and All Weather racing
The Australian bets have been letting the blog down this month so it was good to bounce back a bit with an 8.0 winner today.All three selections ran really well and it was a bit frustrating to see the one advised at 12.0 get chinned on the post.As a result the blog is still behind on the Aussie bets this month but my loins are stirring with the Spring looming here and things will be pumping soon enough.
Four UK flat meeting today,two turf and two synthetic.If anything the All Weather looks more attractive than the turf which tells you that the turf is very unappealing.
All Weather racing in the middle of Summer depletes the quality of the turf racing and is a total nuisance in my opinion.
Before the All Weather came into existence I used whinge and moan about the lack of it when racing was called off due to adverse weather.That was around 20 odd years ago when I was young and progressive.Now I think the cure is worse than the ailment and would be delighted if it vanished altogether.No chance of that I know with all the "participants" loving it.Participants in the racing world does not include punters if you weren't already aware of that.
Around the time it was introduced into British racing coincided with the "participants"deciding that racing had morphed from a sport into an industry.I admit to being a party to this way of thinking then but now know that I was wrong.
Initially they had Jumps racing on the All Weather but the bookies were were so wary betting on it because it was so obviously corrupt that it became untenable.
A few weeks ago the Racing Post reported that the racing authorities had decided against allowing the owners of the Great Leighs all weather track from resuming racing for undisclosed reasons.Underneath the story in the comments section one wag wrote "one down,three to go!"which I thought was brilliantly apt and very funny.
No bets today and no blog tomorrow as I have other commitments so back on Friday when the racing picks up.
Four UK flat meeting today,two turf and two synthetic.If anything the All Weather looks more attractive than the turf which tells you that the turf is very unappealing.
All Weather racing in the middle of Summer depletes the quality of the turf racing and is a total nuisance in my opinion.
Before the All Weather came into existence I used whinge and moan about the lack of it when racing was called off due to adverse weather.That was around 20 odd years ago when I was young and progressive.Now I think the cure is worse than the ailment and would be delighted if it vanished altogether.No chance of that I know with all the "participants" loving it.Participants in the racing world does not include punters if you weren't already aware of that.
Around the time it was introduced into British racing coincided with the "participants"deciding that racing had morphed from a sport into an industry.I admit to being a party to this way of thinking then but now know that I was wrong.
Initially they had Jumps racing on the All Weather but the bookies were were so wary betting on it because it was so obviously corrupt that it became untenable.
A few weeks ago the Racing Post reported that the racing authorities had decided against allowing the owners of the Great Leighs all weather track from resuming racing for undisclosed reasons.Underneath the story in the comments section one wag wrote "one down,three to go!"which I thought was brilliantly apt and very funny.
No bets today and no blog tomorrow as I have other commitments so back on Friday when the racing picks up.
Tuesday, 27 August 2013
Sandown & Warwick Farm Today
Decent midweek racing today so that's a clear sign that Spring is just around the corner.
I took a full day away from things yesterday and had a big night so as is usually the case in those situations by the time you "do the form" the juicy odds have gone.I would have happily backed Tried and Tired in race 6 at Warwick Farm at 4.60.3.20 best now and I still may play there but am not committed at this stage.If I'm playing I'll sent a message via Twitter.
Sandown posts Dead 4 but is a likely upgrade and Warwick Farm is a Good 3 and drying.
Sandown
Race 5
The Tassie mare This Moment is overs at 8.0 compared to my figures of 6.0.In career best form and didn't have much room up the straight last time.
Advised Bet: This Moment 0.85 units at 6.50 or better-take the 8.0 for 70% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance
Race 6
I know Saint Mark was the victim of a poor tactical ride last time but nevertheless he's way too short here.He's not a proven stayer for mine and I want to find one to beat him here.I saw merit in Mendivel,North Lodge and Tough Vintage at the odds and thought about going three against the field but really Mendivel is way overs at 7.0.Progessive,goes forward,definitely stays and is pitbull when challenged.7.0 very nice thank you against my 4.50 max
Advised Bet: Medivel 1.10 units at 4.80 or better-take the 7.0 on offer now
Race 9
Another favourite that's too short here in Soros at 3.40.Sure he bolted up last time but that was against fully exposed out of form horses on the synthetic.Rhythm To Spare and Weissmuller are both promising but have bigger targets over further bur neither would surprise particularly Rhythm To Spare.Lord Durante get across to lead here with Gauci aboard.He hasn't finished improving and back up in trip can definitely have a say in this.12.0 is big overs against my 6.50
Advised Bet; Lord Durante 0.75 units at 7.0 or better-take the 12.0 on offer now
I took a full day away from things yesterday and had a big night so as is usually the case in those situations by the time you "do the form" the juicy odds have gone.I would have happily backed Tried and Tired in race 6 at Warwick Farm at 4.60.3.20 best now and I still may play there but am not committed at this stage.If I'm playing I'll sent a message via Twitter.
Sandown posts Dead 4 but is a likely upgrade and Warwick Farm is a Good 3 and drying.
Sandown
Race 5
The Tassie mare This Moment is overs at 8.0 compared to my figures of 6.0.In career best form and didn't have much room up the straight last time.
Advised Bet: This Moment 0.85 units at 6.50 or better-take the 8.0 for 70% of the stake and monitor on Betfair with the balance
Race 6
I know Saint Mark was the victim of a poor tactical ride last time but nevertheless he's way too short here.He's not a proven stayer for mine and I want to find one to beat him here.I saw merit in Mendivel,North Lodge and Tough Vintage at the odds and thought about going three against the field but really Mendivel is way overs at 7.0.Progessive,goes forward,definitely stays and is pitbull when challenged.7.0 very nice thank you against my 4.50 max
Advised Bet: Medivel 1.10 units at 4.80 or better-take the 7.0 on offer now
Race 9
Another favourite that's too short here in Soros at 3.40.Sure he bolted up last time but that was against fully exposed out of form horses on the synthetic.Rhythm To Spare and Weissmuller are both promising but have bigger targets over further bur neither would surprise particularly Rhythm To Spare.Lord Durante get across to lead here with Gauci aboard.He hasn't finished improving and back up in trip can definitely have a say in this.12.0 is big overs against my 6.50
Advised Bet; Lord Durante 0.75 units at 7.0 or better-take the 12.0 on offer now
Tuesday's UK Racing
Taking a rest day today so no bets.A couple that look interesting going round in Australia tomorrow so there may be something there.Back tomorrow.
Monday, 26 August 2013
Monday's UK Racing
Five UK flat meetings with lots of quantity and not much quality.A warm,dry day today with no rain on the radar anywhere.Chepstow,Ripon and Warwick post Good.Epsom and Newcastle Good to Soft.The ground will dry out everywhere so those going descriptions may be some way off by mid afternoon.Very,very difficult day if your trying to back winners and no advised bets early.If anything does come up I'll send it via Twitter
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