This blog started in October last year and had a fantastic run through the Victorian Spring Carnival finding the winners of the three "big ones" Caulfield and Melbourne Cups and Cox Plate.Plenty of other winners as well at some very juicy odds.Since February however each month has been a losing one and to date 2013 has been very costly and frustrating.I wasn't advising staking during the first 3 months but if you were playing around level stakes (not something I would ever advise) you'd have been between 40/50 units up but since I started the staking plan the losses have been around 30 units (29.83).
Complicating everything for me this year have been some serious heart problems which have had me in hospital three times.Trying to play the horses professionally when you have these kinds of personal dramas going on is a real challenge and realistically it's inevitably that you are going to be a bit less focused than usual.The advise I have from my heart specialist or Cardiologist as they like to be called here in Australia is that gambling for a living is far too stressful and involves me working far too many hours each week and I should cease doing it straight away.Further advice was a course of anti-depressants to help me come to terms with every thing and gently readjust to a calmer less stressful existence.
The medication made me feel like my mind had silted up and after trying two different types they are well and truly off the shopping list.Giving up the punt would leave me without an income and my main interest in life.In short I'd rather go down swinging than drift along in a state of medicated ennui until the inevitable finally arrived.
I did consider canning this blog but a few people have emailed me asking where I've been and will I still be posting so I've decided to continue.
Until September I will only be focusing on Victorian racing here in Australia and that will very much take a back seat to the UK racing.From September until early November I'll look at both in equal measure and I'll be taking December off.
The schedule for the blog with tips attached will be Victorian racing -Lunchtime blog Wednesday through to Sunday,UK racing early evening blog most days (Sundays only when worthwhile).
I've had a very shabby start to 2013 but hopefully it can begin to turn around sooner rather than later.
With today's meeting at Sandown washed out there is no blog covering the Australian racing today but I'll post one this evening for Derby day at Epsom
Friday, 31 May 2013
Oaks Day At Epsom
Medical appointments have destroyed my schedule this week.I had hoped to be back in full swing by this weekend (today) but hopefully I can get back to some normality now.
I'll go into more detail tomorrow about what I hope to accomplish with the blog over the next few months but for today I'll keep it dead simple.
Moth should be favourite for the Oaks but she isn't-she should be 3.40 but is a general 4.50.She has solid classic form and will relish the trip
Advised bet
Epsom Oaks Moth 1.50 units Each Way at 3.70 or better-take the 4.50
Back in more detail tomorrow
I'll go into more detail tomorrow about what I hope to accomplish with the blog over the next few months but for today I'll keep it dead simple.
Moth should be favourite for the Oaks but she isn't-she should be 3.40 but is a general 4.50.She has solid classic form and will relish the trip
Advised bet
Epsom Oaks Moth 1.50 units Each Way at 3.70 or better-take the 4.50
Back in more detail tomorrow
Monday, 27 May 2013
Update
A health relapse has shut me down over the last few weeks.There is no point in posting selections if I'm not playing myself and I haven't been.I missed a bit of racing whilst in hospital so I'm currently finishing off the video replays and up dating my ratings and will hopefully be back sooner rather than later-I'm aiming for this coming weekend
Sunday, 5 May 2013
1000 Guineas Day
1000 Guineas day at Newmarket (Good To Firm) and two good supporting flat meeting at Hamilton (I'm working on Good To Soft) and Salisbury (Good To Firm).
Time constraints so I'll be brief.
Newmarket
Race 4
Hot Snap's Nell Gwyn win is form well up to winning an average 1000 Guineas.She seems sure to be capable of better particularly over today's mile.3.50 on offer against my rating of 2.50
Hamilton
Race 4
Smoothtalkinrascal was very unlucky at Sandown last time.Pace on here suits and suspect that the drying ground will favour him more than main market rival Annunciation.3.75 on Betfair looks very good value (generally 3.50) against my rating of 2.70
Advised Bets
Newmarket R 4 Hot Snap 2 units to win at 2.70 or better
Take the 3.50 on offer
Hamilton R 4 Smoothtalkinrascal 1.85 units to win at 2.90 or better
Shop on Betfair for value
Time constraints so I'll be brief.
Newmarket
Race 4
Hot Snap's Nell Gwyn win is form well up to winning an average 1000 Guineas.She seems sure to be capable of better particularly over today's mile.3.50 on offer against my rating of 2.50
Hamilton
Race 4
Smoothtalkinrascal was very unlucky at Sandown last time.Pace on here suits and suspect that the drying ground will favour him more than main market rival Annunciation.3.75 on Betfair looks very good value (generally 3.50) against my rating of 2.70
Advised Bets
Newmarket R 4 Hot Snap 2 units to win at 2.70 or better
Take the 3.50 on offer
Hamilton R 4 Smoothtalkinrascal 1.85 units to win at 2.90 or better
Shop on Betfair for value
Saturday, 4 May 2013
2000 Guineas Day
2000 Guineas day at Newmarket with three other UK flat meetings too.Bits of rain on the radar but it looks like it's unlikely to affect the current going.Newmarket,Doncaster and Goodwood should be decent fast ground and Thirsk no worse than Good.Monitor the northern courses though as any rain that falls is likely to be there.
Plenty of horses made the short list today but at this stage I'm not sure to be backing anything so no advised bets.Poor draws,lack of pace,going concerns and no fat in the odds on offer means it looks like I'll be playing mainly on the lay side of the exchange today.
Despite it already being the Guineas meeting this flat season still seems very raw and patchy.It's pointless complaining about how the Winter all weather racing impacts on the start of the turf season as it's a fact of life but it certainly complicates things.
Plenty of time for things to develop yet today so I'll tweet any late mail
Plenty of horses made the short list today but at this stage I'm not sure to be backing anything so no advised bets.Poor draws,lack of pace,going concerns and no fat in the odds on offer means it looks like I'll be playing mainly on the lay side of the exchange today.
Despite it already being the Guineas meeting this flat season still seems very raw and patchy.It's pointless complaining about how the Winter all weather racing impacts on the start of the turf season as it's a fact of life but it certainly complicates things.
Plenty of time for things to develop yet today so I'll tweet any late mail
Friday, 3 May 2013
Friday's Racing
Beat the market with Klishina at Bendigo today 7.0 into 3.50 but she ran way below the form she showed last prep so no joy there.
Flat racing in the UK at Musselburgh ( Good but chance of rain),Chepstow (Good To Firm and dry) and Lingfield All Weather (Standard).
Considering it's a Friday and a holiday weekend you'd have thought we would be served up something a bit better than what's on offer today.Today's cards are what you'd expect Monday or Tuesday.
There is nothing I'm certain about backing at this stage so no advised bets but I'll tweet any late mail.
Big weekend coming up!
Flat racing in the UK at Musselburgh ( Good but chance of rain),Chepstow (Good To Firm and dry) and Lingfield All Weather (Standard).
Considering it's a Friday and a holiday weekend you'd have thought we would be served up something a bit better than what's on offer today.Today's cards are what you'd expect Monday or Tuesday.
There is nothing I'm certain about backing at this stage so no advised bets but I'll tweet any late mail.
Big weekend coming up!
Thursday, 2 May 2013
Bet today at Bendigo
One that I'm very keen on today at Bendigo where it's posted a Dead 4 but is fine so may upgrade.
Race 6
Anyone watching Klishina's debut and second up second to subsequent Guineas winner Ferlax would surely concur that she is way better than a 62 rater.I thought she might have beaten Ferlax had apprentice O.Ay not overdone the waiting tactics.Here she is resuming in a C1.
7.0 is available and I think that is big overs if she's on song resuming.My rating here is 3.50 and I've backed her accordingly.
Advised Bet
Bendigo Race 6 Klishina 1.40 units to win at 3.80 or better-take the 7.0 for 50%
and average in with the rest
Race 6
Anyone watching Klishina's debut and second up second to subsequent Guineas winner Ferlax would surely concur that she is way better than a 62 rater.I thought she might have beaten Ferlax had apprentice O.Ay not overdone the waiting tactics.Here she is resuming in a C1.
7.0 is available and I think that is big overs if she's on song resuming.My rating here is 3.50 and I've backed her accordingly.
Advised Bet
Bendigo Race 6 Klishina 1.40 units to win at 3.80 or better-take the 7.0 for 50%
and average in with the rest
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)